TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sydorchuk vs Mykyta Kornijchuk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:00 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Mykyta Kornijchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 60.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 4–2 Mykyta Kornijchuk Mykyta Kornijchuk has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:0060.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 629 vs Kornijchuk 552
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Kornijchuk 60%
Kornijchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Kornijchuk 60%
Kornijchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Kornijchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Sydorchuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kornijchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 1.571 / Kornijchuk 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sydorchuk)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276304
Sydorchuk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 59 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Kornijchuk2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog19% won 4 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayKornijchuk2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk75%3 of 4
AwayKornijchukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk4Kornijchuk2n = 6Sydorchuk took 4 of 6
S2Sydorchuk5Kornijchuk1n = 6Sydorchuk took 5 of 6
S3Sydorchuk3Kornijchuk2n = 5Sydorchuk took 3 of 5
S4Sydorchuk1Kornijchuk3n = 4Kornijchuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSydorchukKornijchukS − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.839.0−0.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukKornijchukBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 368 vs 11 / 3542.7%31.4%157 / 368 vs 11 / 35Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.531.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukSydorchuk 1.57/Kornijchuk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 10 · 14:25V. Sydorchuk44111110123M. Kornijchuk356712101
LOct 3 · 10:25V. Sydorchuk30118741M. Kornijchuk4291111113
WSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk48911116113M. Kornijchuk4711891182
LSep 18 · 18:25V. Sydorchuk3961111652M. Kornijchuk48118711113
WSep 13 · 09:25V. Sydorchuk331111113M. Kornijchuk237790
V. Sydorchuk10
LOct 11 · 08:05O. Kundeus1.83111110113V. Sydorchuk1.83961281WOct 11 · 06:05A. Lanchut6.507950V. Sydorchuk1.101111113LOct 11 · 05:05O. Bolnyh1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.206670LOct 10 · 18:25V. Sydorchuk2.201310631O. Bolnyh1.61111211113WOct 10 · 16:25A. Lanchut6.009560V. Sydorchuk1.111111113LOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113WOct 10 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk2.256712101V. Sydorchuk1.57111110123LOct 10 · 12:55V. Sydorchuk2.2566120M. Senyk1.571111122LOct 3 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk3.2591111113V. Sydorchuk1.33118741WOct 3 · 09:25V. Sydorchuk2.1011711113O. Bolnyh1.67811851
M. Kornijchuk10
WOct 11 · 08:35O. Bolnyh1.1311670M. Kornijchuk5.501311113LOct 11 · 06:35M. Senyk1.4061111113M. Kornijchuk2.75113941WOct 11 · 04:35A. Lanchut3.5071080M. Kornijchuk1.281112113WOct 10 · 17:55A. Lanchut2.6391010M. Kornijchuk1.441112113LOct 10 · 16:55M. Kornijchuk2.389111171M. Senyk1.5311138113LOct 10 · 15:55M. Kornijchuk6.50441161O. Bolnyh1.1011117113LOct 10 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk2.256712101V. Sydorchuk1.57111110123WOct 10 · 12:25M. Kornijchuk1.6111128123O. Kundeus2.2071011101WOct 3 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk3.2591111113V. Sydorchuk1.33118741WOct 3 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk4.001111113M. Senyk1.228970
Upcoming Matches
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