TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lanchut vs Mykyta Kornijchuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012111––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMykyta Kornijchuk to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lanchut above · Mykyta Kornijchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 54 set 3, 1-11 · our read held Mykyta Kornijchuk at 64.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lanchut 1–0 Mykyta Kornijchuk Mykyta Kornijchuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5364.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kornijchuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lanchut 352 vs Kornijchuk 539
Kornijchuk
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lanchut 20% vs Kornijchuk 40%
Kornijchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lanchut 10% vs Kornijchuk 30%
Kornijchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lanchut -2 · Kornijchuk -3
Kornijchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Kornijchuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kornijchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanchut 2.625 / Kornijchuk 1.444
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Kornijchuk)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13271027
Lanchut2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog10% won 4 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Kornijchuk1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLanchut1wins
AwayKornijchuk0wins
Lanchut leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLanchutKornijchukL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.029.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLanchutKornijchukBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 93 vs 8 / 3110.8%25.8%10 / 93 vs 8 / 31Avg sets wonper match1.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match29.831.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KornijchukLanchut 2.63/Kornijchuk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Kornijchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kornijchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 08:55A. Lanchut4011117113M. Kornijchuk29681141
A. Lanchut10
LOct 10 · 16:25A. Lanchut6.009560V. Sydorchuk1.111111113LOct 10 · 14:55A. Lanchut4.509490M. Senyk1.171111113WOct 10 · 13:25A. Lanchut2.25111111113O. Kundeus1.57613541LOct 10 · 11:55A. Lanchut7.50911481O. Bolnyh1.0711811113LSep 27 · 18:55A. Lanchut6.00117781V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 27 · 16:55M. Senyk1.171112611113A. Lanchut4.50110111392LSep 27 · 14:55V. Moroz1.671112113A. Lanchut2.1061090LSep 27 · 13:55A. Lanchut4.004610V. Slobodian1.22111143LSep 27 · 12:55O. Kulbach1.611111103A. Lanchut2.207660LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113
M. Kornijchuk10
LOct 10 · 16:55M. Kornijchuk2.389111171M. Senyk1.5311138113LOct 10 · 15:55M. Kornijchuk6.50441161O. Bolnyh1.1011117113LOct 10 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk2.256712101V. Sydorchuk1.57111110123WOct 10 · 12:25M. Kornijchuk1.6111128123O. Kundeus2.2071011101WOct 3 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk3.2591111113V. Sydorchuk1.33118741WOct 3 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk4.001111113M. Senyk1.228970LOct 3 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk7.00611651O. Bolnyh1.0811411113LOct 3 · 04:25M. Kornijchuk4.33128471V. Slobodian1.20101111113LSep 19 · 10:55M. Senyk1.2813116113M. Kornijchuk3.501191181LSep 19 · 09:55O. Bolnyh1.171111113M. Kornijchuk4.505390
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