TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Bolnyh vs Oleksandr Kundeus 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012112911115114
Oleksandr Kundeus
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
0–2Last 2Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched: 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Oleksandr Kundeus below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4 · our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 68.8%
86 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2068.8%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 4.6pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 20% vs Kundeus 0%
Bolnyh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 30% vs Kundeus 0%
Bolnyh
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh -1 · Kundeus -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Bolnyh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kundeus form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 1.363 / Kundeus 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Bolnyh)-4.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234563
Bolnyh1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite70% won 46 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Kundeus3.00
0%won 0 of 2 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 2
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhKundeusBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 211 vs 0 / 244.1%0%93 / 211 vs 0 / 2Avg sets wonper match1.80.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BolnyhBolnyh 1.36/Kundeus 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bolnyh won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Bolnyh10
LOct 3 · 09:25V. Sydorchuk2.1011711113O. Bolnyh1.67811851WOct 3 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk7.00611651O. Bolnyh1.0811411113LOct 3 · 06:25O. Bolnyh2.636980V. Slobodian1.441111113LOct 3 · 05:25M. Senyk2.6311114113O. Bolnyh1.44991181LOct 2 · 11:25I. Fokin1.2011158113O. Bolnyh4.339131141WOct 2 · 09:55O. Bolnyh5.00911119113Y. Shcherbak1.1411891172LOct 2 · 07:55P. Melnichuk1.8311811113O. Bolnyh1.83711531WOct 2 · 05:55O. Martynenko1.616380O. Bolnyh2.201111113LOct 2 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.3611117123O. Bolnyh3.009911101LOct 1 · 18:55Y. Shcherbak1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507960
O. Kundeus2
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