TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lanchut vs Oleksandr Kundeus 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611311511––––
Oleksandr Kundeus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kundeus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lanchut above · Oleksandr Kundeus below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 47 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Oleksandr Kundeus at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lanchut 1–0 Oleksandr Kundeus Oleksandr Kundeus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:0254.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kundeus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lanchut 323 vs Kundeus 633
Kundeus
Correct
both rated, 311 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lanchut 0% vs Kundeus 60%
Kundeus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lanchut 10% vs Kundeus 40%
Kundeus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lanchut -6 · Kundeus +2
Lanchut
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kundeus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lanchut form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanchut 1.909 / Kundeus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kundeus)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276333
Lanchut1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog11% won 5 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back6% 2 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Kundeus1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLanchut1wins
AwayKundeus0wins
Lanchut leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLanchutKundeusL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.028.0+16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLanchutKundeusBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 97 vs 4 / 1110.3%36.4%10 / 97 vs 4 / 11Avg sets wonper match0.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match29.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KundeusLanchut 1.91/Kundeus 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kundeus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kundeus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 10 · 13:25A. Lanchut44111111113O. Kundeus28613541
A. Lanchut10
LOct 11 · 10:35A. Lanchut7.0011117742O. Bolnyh1.08931111113LOct 11 · 07:35A. Lanchut5.505149101M. Senyk1.13111211123LOct 11 · 06:05A. Lanchut6.507950V. Sydorchuk1.101111113LOct 11 · 04:35A. Lanchut3.5071080M. Kornijchuk1.281112113LOct 10 · 17:55A. Lanchut2.6391010M. Kornijchuk1.441112113LOct 10 · 16:25A. Lanchut6.009560V. Sydorchuk1.111111113LOct 10 · 14:55A. Lanchut4.509490M. Senyk1.171111113WOct 10 · 13:25A. Lanchut2.25111111113O. Kundeus1.57613541LOct 10 · 11:55A. Lanchut7.50911481O. Bolnyh1.0711811113LSep 27 · 18:55A. Lanchut6.00117781V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113
O. Kundeus10
WOct 11 · 08:05O. Kundeus1.83111110113V. Sydorchuk1.83961281WOct 11 · 07:05O. Bolnyh1.61911961O. Kundeus2.2011711113LOct 11 · 05:35O. Kundeus3.40871181M. Senyk1.3011119113LOct 10 · 18:55M. Senyk1.331113113O. Kundeus3.2521160WOct 10 · 17:25O. Kundeus2.38116116113O. Bolnyh1.5361161162WOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113LOct 10 · 13:25A. Lanchut2.25111111113O. Kundeus1.57613541LOct 10 · 12:25M. Kornijchuk1.6111128123O. Kundeus2.2071011101LOct 3 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.361011911113O. Kundeus3.0012211542LOct 3 · 09:55O. Kundeus3.2510111431V. Slobodian1.33121312113
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