TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kundeus vs Oleksandr Bolnyh 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Oleksandr Kundeus
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–5Last 6Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116611116611116
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:18 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kundeus above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 60.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kundeus 0–1 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Kundeus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:1860.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bolnyh
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kundeus 256 vs Bolnyh 747
Bolnyh
Wrong
both rated, 491 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kundeus 20% vs Bolnyh 60%
Bolnyh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kundeus 17% vs Bolnyh 50%
Bolnyh
Wrong
33pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kundeus +1 · Bolnyh +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Bolnyh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kundeus form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKundeus 2.375 / Bolnyh 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Bolnyh)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270683
Kundeus2.38
17%won 1 of 6 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
17%takes the first set · 1 of 6
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Bolnyh1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 47 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKundeus0wins
AwayBolnyh1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBolnyh leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKundeusBolnyhK − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.052.0−18.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKundeusBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 6 vs 96 / 2150%44.7%0 / 6 vs 96 / 215Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhKundeus 2.38/Bolnyh 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kundeus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 3 · 11:25O. Kundeus3412211542O. Bolnyh521011911113
O. Kundeus6
WOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113LOct 10 · 13:25A. Lanchut2.25111111113O. Kundeus1.57613541LOct 10 · 12:25M. Kornijchuk1.6111128123O. Kundeus2.2071011101LOct 3 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.361011911113O. Kundeus3.0012211542LOct 3 · 09:55O. Kundeus3.2510111431V. Slobodian1.33121312113LOct 3 · 07:53M. Senyk1.531311113O. Kundeus2.3811980
O. Bolnyh10
WOct 10 · 18:25V. Sydorchuk2.201310631O. Bolnyh1.61111211113WOct 10 · 15:55M. Kornijchuk6.50441161O. Bolnyh1.1011117113LOct 10 · 13:55M. Senyk2.6311158773O. Bolnyh1.44813111152WOct 10 · 11:55A. Lanchut7.50911481O. Bolnyh1.0711811113WOct 3 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.361011911113O. Kundeus3.0012211542LOct 3 · 09:25V. Sydorchuk2.1011711113O. Bolnyh1.67811851WOct 3 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk7.00611651O. Bolnyh1.0811411113LOct 3 · 06:25O. Bolnyh2.636980V. Slobodian1.441111113LOct 3 · 05:25M. Senyk2.6311114113O. Bolnyh1.44991181LOct 2 · 11:25I. Fokin1.2011158113O. Bolnyh4.339131141
Upcoming Matches
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