TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Makovka vs Artem Zozulia 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111315114118811
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeArtem Zozulia to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Artem Zozulia at 56.5%
99 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2656.5%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.5pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zozulia
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1492 vs Zozulia 1599
Zozulia
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 20% vs Zozulia 40%
Zozulia
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 30% vs Zozulia 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -3 · Zozulia -1
Makovka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Zozulia) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.10 / Zozulia 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Zozulia)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276284
Makovka2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 49 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 63
Zozulia1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 367 vs 32 / 7138.7%45.1%142 / 367 vs 32 / 71Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZozuliaMakovka 2.10/Zozulia 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Zozulia · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zozulia won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Makovka10
LOct 11 · 09:30A. Droshchynskyi1.171111113Y. Makovka4.505870LOct 11 · 07:30V. Evtodiy1.571111133Y. Makovka2.2569110LOct 11 · 06:30Y. Makovka2.75681161Y. Holoborodko1.4011115113WOct 11 · 05:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.44114781Y. Makovka2.6371111113LOct 10 · 17:10Y. Makovka2.507440M. Tiutiunnyk1.501111113WOct 10 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.28811371Y. Makovka3.5011811113WOct 10 · 14:10Y. Makovka1.831111102V. Evtodiy1.8356121LOct 10 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.221111113Y. Makovka4.0048100LOct 10 · 11:40Y. Makovka4.5011590A. Droshchynskyi1.171311113LSep 27 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711911113Y. Makovka4.50511761
A. Zozulia10
LOct 11 · 10:00A. Zozulia1.44861141Y. Holoborodko2.6311116113WOct 11 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.67961151A. Zozulia2.1011118113WOct 11 · 06:00V. Evtodiy1.8387140A. Zozulia1.831111163LOct 11 · 05:00A. Droshchynskyi1.831011115113A. Zozulia1.8312881182LOct 10 · 09:50A. Zozulia2.25116841O. Zhyrnov1.5791111113LOct 10 · 08:50O. Kuzyshyn1.531111113A. Zozulia2.385880LOct 10 · 07:50O. Seliuchenko1.5311118133A. Zozulia2.384511111LOct 10 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.57811811113A. Zozulia2.2511411872WOct 8 · 17:10A. Droshchynskyi1.61811831A. Zozulia2.2011811113WOct 8 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.503920A. Zozulia1.501111113
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