TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Tiutiunnyk vs Artem Zozulia 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611118511––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 3–1 Artem Zozulia Artem Zozulia has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5854.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1575 vs Zozulia 1602
Zozulia
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 40% vs Zozulia 20%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 30% vs Zozulia 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk -2 · Zozulia +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.666 / Zozulia 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276262
Tiutiunnyk1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 69 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Zozulia2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 13 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk3wins
AwayZozulia1wins
Tiutiunnyk leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk2Zozulia2n = 4split evenly
S2Tiutiunnyk3Zozulia1n = 4Tiutiunnyk took 3 of 4
S3Tiutiunnyk3Zozulia1n = 4Tiutiunnyk took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykZozuliaT − ZBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match33.028.2+4.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 412 vs 31 / 6949.5%44.9%204 / 412 vs 31 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.67/Zozulia 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zozulia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 24 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk4071111113A. Zozulia31115961
LSep 19 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk208660A. Zozulia331111113
WSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk351113113A. Zozulia2011180
WSep 10 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk371111153A. Zozulia2979130
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WOct 11 · 09:00V. Evtodiy1.6185121172M. Tiutiunnyk2.201111108113LOct 11 · 07:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4014711113M. Tiutiunnyk2.751211681LOct 11 · 05:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.44114781Y. Makovka2.6371111113WOct 10 · 17:10Y. Makovka2.507440M. Tiutiunnyk1.501111113LOct 10 · 16:10V. Evtodiy1.9114511123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8012117101WOct 10 · 14:40V. Merzlikin1.6711911902M. Tiutiunnyk2.1091171122WOct 10 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.3612261192M. Tiutiunnyk3.001011116113LOct 10 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.2571112113M. Tiutiunnyk1.571181061WOct 1 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.006880M. Tiutiunnyk1.731111113LOct 1 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.759950V. Maksuta1.401111113
A. Zozulia10
LOct 11 · 10:00A. Zozulia1.44861141Y. Holoborodko2.6311116113WOct 11 · 06:00V. Evtodiy1.8387140A. Zozulia1.831111163LOct 11 · 05:00A. Droshchynskyi1.831011115113A. Zozulia1.8312881182LOct 10 · 09:50A. Zozulia2.25116841O. Zhyrnov1.5791111113LOct 10 · 08:50O. Kuzyshyn1.531111113A. Zozulia2.385880LOct 10 · 07:50O. Seliuchenko1.5311118133A. Zozulia2.384511111LOct 10 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.57811811113A. Zozulia2.2511411872WOct 8 · 17:10A. Droshchynskyi1.61811831A. Zozulia2.2011811113WOct 8 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.503920A. Zozulia1.501111113LOct 8 · 14:40V. Merzlikin2.3811114133A. Zozulia1.536711111
Upcoming Matches
M. Tiutiunnyk
Nothing scheduled
A. Zozulia
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