TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Zozulia vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611811411––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:45 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Zozulia above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 59.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Artem Zozulia 0–3 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Artem Zozulia has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4559.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zozulia 1604 vs Zhyrnov 1687
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zozulia 40% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zozulia 40% vs Zhyrnov 70%
Zhyrnov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zozulia -3 · Zhyrnov +1
Zozulia
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZozulia 2.25 / Zhyrnov 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zhyrnov)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13271170
Zozulia2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 13 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Zhyrnov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it85% 88 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZozulia0wins
AwayZhyrnov3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZozulian = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZhyrnov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zozulia0Zhyrnov3n = 3Zhyrnov took 3 of 3
S2Zozulia1Zhyrnov2n = 3Zhyrnov took 2 of 3
S3Zozulia1Zhyrnov2n = 3Zhyrnov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricZozuliaZhyrnovZozulia − ZhyrnovBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match34.041.3−7.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZozuliaZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 66 vs 393 / 78145.5%50.3%30 / 66 vs 393 / 781Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZozulia 2.25/Zhyrnov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 7 · 11:40A. Zozulia34891161O. Zhyrnov4111118113
LSep 12 · 07:20A. Zozulia4591171172O. Zhyrnov49117119113
LSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia2310490O. Zhyrnov341211113
A. Zozulia10
LOct 10 · 08:50O. Kuzyshyn1.531111113A. Zozulia2.385880LOct 10 · 07:50O. Seliuchenko1.5311118133A. Zozulia2.384511111LOct 10 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.57811811113A. Zozulia2.2511411872WOct 8 · 17:10A. Droshchynskyi1.61811831A. Zozulia2.2011811113WOct 8 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.503920A. Zozulia1.501111113LOct 8 · 14:40V. Merzlikin2.3811114133A. Zozulia1.536711111LOct 8 · 12:38V. Shvidkiy2.381291213113A. Zozulia1.531411101182LOct 8 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.44111199113A. Zozulia2.6395111152WOct 7 · 17:40A. Zozulia1.441111511113Y. Holoborodko2.6377111342WOct 7 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.73171180A. Zozulia2.001913113
O. Zhyrnov10
WOct 10 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.3311911582O. Zhyrnov3.25911611113LOct 10 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko1.4411116113O. Zhyrnov2.63561181WOct 10 · 05:50O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111872O. Zhyrnov1.67123511113WOct 7 · 17:10O. Zhyrnov1.33131311113V. Ishchuk3.251115341LOct 7 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.101211133O. Zhyrnov1.65108110WOct 7 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.4011117113Y. Holoborodko2.75731181WOct 7 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.8310870O. Zhyrnov1.831211113WOct 7 · 11:40O. Zhyrnov1.5011118113A. Zozulia2.50891161WOct 6 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov2.0011118123E. Hrytsenko1.738811101LOct 6 · 10:50I. Nitchenko1.611151111113O. Zhyrnov2.2061113742
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.