TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Jasek vs Roman Guliak 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131181113––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMilan Jasek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 86 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Milan Jasek at 60.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 22–18 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:2660.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jasek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-18 in 40
Jasek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1412 vs Guliak 1390
Jasek
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 60% vs Guliak 40%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 70% vs Guliak 20%
Jasek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek -1 · Guliak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Jasek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.571 / Guliak 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Jasek)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13275749
Jasek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Guliak2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 72 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJasek7wins
AwayGuliak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJasek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek100%5 of 5
AwayGuliak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S2Jasek4Guliak6n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S3Jasek7Guliak3n = 10Jasek took 7 of 10
S4Jasek6Guliak1n = 7Jasek took 6 of 7
S5Jasek2Guliak1n = 3Jasek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJasekGuliakJ − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.1+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 270 vs 342 / 69448.2%49.3%130 / 270 vs 342 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.57/Guliak 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 11 · 19:30M. Jasek4181111111R. Guliak4511138133
WOct 8 · 20:59M. Jasek517111111113R. Guliak4111134582
WOct 8 · 18:00M. Jasek4313811113R. Guliak371111871
WOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek331111113R. Guliak196580
WOct 6 · 18:30M. Jasek4181111113R. Guliak34119861
LSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek2281130R. Guliak351113113
WAug 16 · 07:00M. Jasek5711121111123R. Guliak52714138102
WJul 21 · 20:58M. Jasek4211711133R. Guliak399118111
LJul 21 · 18:30M. Jasek44611511112R. Guliak51119117133
WJul 19 · 07:00M. Jasek341112113R. Guliak1851030
M. Jasek10
LOct 11 · 18:30F. Zurek1.571112113M. Jasek2.2591050WOct 8 · 20:59M. Jasek1.617111111113R. Guliak2.2011134582WOct 8 · 20:30M. Jasek2.10116119113P. Hanel1.6731191142LOct 8 · 19:00M. Jasek1.30118861A. Schneeberger3.1561111113WOct 8 · 18:00R. Guliak2.381111871M. Jasek1.5313811113WOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek1.671111113R. Guliak2.106580LOct 6 · 20:30I. Taichman1.5711119113M. Jasek2.25781161WOct 6 · 19:30M. Jasek2.381111113M. Kowolowski1.535680WOct 6 · 18:30R. Guliak1.91119861M. Jasek1.8081111113WSep 27 · 12:59D. Priesol3.2510870M. Jasek1.331211113
R. Guliak10
WOct 11 · 20:00R. Guliak2.3811711113F. Zurek1.53311561LOct 11 · 18:00R. Guliak2.755760V. Bosak1.401111113WOct 10 · 09:09R. Kvasnicka1.201171351R. Guliak4.3381115113LOct 10 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka2.25941312143R. Guliak1.5711111110122WOct 10 · 07:30R. Guliak1.611111123I. Taichman2.2077100LOct 10 · 06:30F. Zurek1.6711911113R. Guliak2.10711951LOct 8 · 20:59M. Jasek1.617111111113R. Guliak2.2011134582LOct 8 · 18:00R. Guliak2.381111871M. Jasek1.5313811113LOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek1.671111113R. Guliak2.106580LOct 6 · 18:30R. Guliak1.91119861M. Jasek1.8081111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Jasek
Nothing scheduled
R. Guliak
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