Michal Vondrak vs Martin Sychra 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Michal Vondrak

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1181012811112711

Martin Sychra

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%

Graded at full time

Michal Vondrak to win

54.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Martin Sychra below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-2

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 91 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.7%

91 points played in total.

H2H Michal Vondrak 44–31 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 31 of their 75 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vondrak

Vondrak 1.80/Sychra 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.7%

Vondrak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Sychra won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 23:53

54.7%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 0.9pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Vondrak

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

44-31 in 75

Vondrak

Wrong

gap of 13 in 75, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vondrak 1669 vs Sychra 1511

Vondrak

Wrong

both rated, 158 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vondrak 80% vs Sychra 20%

Vondrak

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vondrak 70% vs Sychra 20%

Vondrak

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vondrak +2 · Sychra -3

Sychra

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Vondrak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sychra: form 20%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVondrak 1.80 / Sychra 1.909

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Vondrak)-0.9pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVondrak7wins

AwaySychra3wins

7 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVondrak57.1%4 of 7

AwaySychra0%0 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vondrak7Sychra3n = 10Vondrak took 7 of 10

S2Vondrak5Sychra5n = 10split evenly

S3Vondrak5Sychra5n = 10split evenly

S4Vondrak4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10

S5Vondrak5Sychra2n = 7Vondrak took 5 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home550%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVondrakSychraV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match47.042.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVondrakSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 661 vs 800 / 154849.2%51.7%325 / 661 vs 800 / 1548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13275742

Vondrak1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 65 of 109

Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28

Up 1–0, closes it72% 42 of 58

Sychra1.91

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog45% won 149 of 331

Down 0–1, comes back29% 52 of 181

Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 91

Michal Vondrak vs Martin Sychra 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Michal Vondrak vs Martin Sychra 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.