Martin Sychra vs Sebastian Kasnik 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Martin Sychra

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

4111917119119––

Sebastian Kasnik

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:53 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Sebastian Kasnik to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Sebastian Kasnik below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 19-17

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 91 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Sebastian Kasnik at 54.9%

91 points played in total.

H2H Martin Sychra 22–21 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 21 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kasnik

Sychra 2.00/Kasnik 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.9%

Kasnik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Sychra won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:53

54.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.0pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Kasnik

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

22-21 in 43

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sychra 1527 vs Kasnik 1631

Kasnik

Wrong

both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sychra 40% vs Kasnik 60%

Kasnik

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sychra 30% vs Kasnik 70%

Kasnik

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sychra +1 · Kasnik -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Kasnik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSychra 2.00 / Kasnik 1.727

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Kasnik)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSychra6wins

AwayKasnik4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSychran = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayKasnik44.4%4 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sychra1Kasnik9n = 10Kasnik took 9 of 10

S2Sychra6Kasnik4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10

S3Sychra5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly

S4Sychra5Kasnik3n = 8Sychra took 5 of 8

S5Sychra3Kasnik0n = 3Sychra took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricSychraKasnikS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.7+1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSychraKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1549 vs 476 / 101151.7%47.1%801 / 1549 vs 476 / 1011Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.8per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13275988

Sychra2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog45% won 149 of 331

Down 0–1, comes back29% 52 of 181

Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 91

Kasnik1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite57% won 100 of 177

Up 2–0, closes it91% 58 of 64

Up 1–0, closes it75% 81 of 108

Martin Sychra vs Sebastian Kasnik 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Martin Sychra vs Sebastian Kasnik 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.