TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sychra vs Viktor Vejvoda 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1195111210119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:54 and never touched: 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 57.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 19–37 Viktor Vejvoda Martin Sychra has won 19 of their 56 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 01:5457.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 2.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-37 in 56
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 18 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1523 vs Vejvoda 1633
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 20% vs Vejvoda 60%
Vejvoda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 20% vs Vejvoda 60%
Vejvoda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -4 · Vejvoda +2
Sychra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Vejvoda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.10 / Vejvoda 1.666
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Vejvoda)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13258656
Sychra2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 149 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back29% 52 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 93
Vejvoda1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 169 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it81% 113 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwayVejvoda6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra66.7%2 of 3
AwayVejvoda71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra3Vejvoda7n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S2Sychra7Vejvoda3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S3Sychra7Vejvoda3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S4Sychra1Vejvoda5n = 6Vejvoda took 5 of 6
S5Sychra2Vejvoda4n = 6Vejvoda took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraVejvodaS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.9−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime808 / 1554 vs 463 / 89352%51.9%808 / 1554 vs 463 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaSychra 2.10/Vejvoda 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 02:58M. Sychra142570V. Vejvoda331111113
WOct 8 · 00:00M. Sychra331111113V. Vejvoda164660
LOct 6 · 09:04M. Sychra48711111092V. Vejvoda50119712113
WOct 6 · 08:00M. Sychra50811119113V. Vejvoda4011831172
WSep 30 · 12:30M. Sychra52811175113V. Vejvoda46116151132
WSep 30 · 08:00M. Sychra331111113V. Vejvoda219570
LSep 27 · 18:30M. Sychra4071111562V. Vejvoda50118911113
LSep 25 · 12:30M. Sychra4287111152V. Vejvoda49111188113
LSep 23 · 02:00M. Sychra501111810102V. Vejvoda51791112123
LSep 21 · 07:00M. Sychra239590V. Vejvoda331111113
M. Sychra10
LOct 9 · 01:00M. Sychra1.91411551M. Vondrak1.8011911113LOct 9 · 00:00M. Regner1.8311115113M. Sychra1.83961171LOct 8 · 22:30M. Vizek2.0012119123M. Sychra1.7310411101LOct 8 · 02:58M. Sychra1.832570V. Vejvoda1.831111113WOct 8 · 02:00M. Sychra2.0013612113T. Batog1.7311111051LOct 8 · 01:00M. Sychra1.916470M. Regner1.801111113WOct 8 · 00:00V. Vejvoda1.734660M. Sychra2.001111113LOct 7 · 22:30J. Zuzanek1.91911811113M. Sychra1.8011911942LOct 7 · 20:58M. Vondrak1.80911119113M. Sychra1.9111781172LOct 7 · 20:00M. Vondrak1.67114126113M. Sychra2.10811101172
V. Vejvoda10
WOct 9 · 03:00V. Vejvoda1.5351111113M. Vizek2.38119931WOct 9 · 00:30V. Vejvoda1.53914125113M. Vizek2.381112101192WOct 8 · 23:00V. Vejvoda1.831111113M. Regner1.836670LOct 8 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.0013111111113V. Vejvoda1.7315513762WOct 8 · 02:58M. Sychra1.832570V. Vejvoda1.831111113LOct 8 · 02:30V. Vejvoda1.91411751M. Regner1.8011911113WOct 8 · 01:30J. Zuzanek1.837930V. Vejvoda1.831111113LOct 8 · 00:00V. Vejvoda1.734660M. Sychra2.001111113WOct 7 · 23:00T. Batog2.00117512102V. Vejvoda1.739111110123WOct 7 · 13:15V. Vejvoda1.671111113M. Volf2.109870
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