Viktor Vejvoda vs Michal Vondrak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Viktor Vejvoda

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1214117911116119

Michal Vondrak

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:18 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Viktor Vejvoda to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Michal Vondrak below

Set 1 · 12-14

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 101 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 54.0%

101 points played in total.

H2H Viktor Vejvoda 25–18 Michal Vondrak Michal Vondrak has won 18 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vejvoda

Vejvoda 1.80/Vondrak 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vejvoda · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vejvoda won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:18

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Vejvoda

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

25-18 in 43

Vejvoda

Correct

gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vejvoda 1659 vs Vondrak 1654

Vejvoda

Correct

both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vejvoda 80% vs Vondrak 60%

Vejvoda

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vejvoda 70% vs Vondrak 70%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vejvoda +3 · Vondrak -1

Vejvoda

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vejvoda: form 80%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVejvoda 1.80 / Vondrak 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Vejvoda)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVejvoda6wins

AwayVondrak4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVejvoda60%3 of 5

AwayVondrak40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vejvoda5Vondrak5n = 10split evenly

S2Vejvoda5Vondrak5n = 10split evenly

S3Vejvoda8Vondrak2n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10

S4Vejvoda4Vondrak4n = 8split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVejvodaVondrakVejvoda − VondrakBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.6+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVejvodaVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 896 vs 325 / 66251.7%49.1%463 / 896 vs 325 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13275482

Vejvoda1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 168 of 282

Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87

Up 1–0, closes it81% 113 of 140

Vondrak1.91

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog46% won 65 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back30% 20 of 66

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32

Viktor Vejvoda vs Michal Vondrak 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Viktor Vejvoda vs Michal Vondrak 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.