TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lubos Mikyska vs Miroslav Vaclavik 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Lubos Mikyska
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:28 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLubos Mikyska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLubos Mikyska above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Lubos Mikyska at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Mikyska 1–0 Miroslav Vaclavik Miroslav Vaclavik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Mikyska beat Vaclavik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2854.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 11.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mikyska
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mikyska 1425 vs Vaclavik 1299
Mikyska
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikyska 100% vs Vaclavik 80%
Mikyska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikyska 70% vs Vaclavik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikyska +5 · Vaclavik +1
Mikyska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mikyska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikyska 1.533 / Vaclavik 2.375
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mikyska)-11.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13275700
Mikyska1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vaclavik2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 22 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMikyska1wins
AwayVaclavik0wins
Mikyska leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMikyskaVaclavikM − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikyskaVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 11 vs 131 / 23563.6%55.7%7 / 11 vs 131 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikyskaMikyska 1.53/Vaclavik 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mikyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mikyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 10 · 15:30L. Mikyska4291111113M. Vaclavik32116781
L. Mikyska10
WOct 10 · 16:30L. Havrda2.209570L. Mikyska1.611111113WOct 10 · 15:30L. Mikyska1.9191111113M. Vaclavik1.80116781WOct 10 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.209660L. Mikyska1.571111113WOct 10 · 13:30L. Mikyska1.731115113J. Grohsgott2.0041340WOct 10 · 12:00M. Lubas1.7351150L. Mikyska2.001113113LOct 10 · 11:00M. Syroha1.73117911113L. Mikyska2.0081111972WOct 10 · 10:30L. Mikyska1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83112691WOct 6 · 13:02P. Sudek1.80411811112L. Mikyska1.91116119133LOct 6 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.54101213113L. Mikyska2.2512101161LOct 6 · 11:30L. Mikyska1.831271161P. Sudek1.8314116113
M. Vaclavik10
WOct 10 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.53118811113J. Grohsgott2.3881111942LOct 10 · 15:30L. Mikyska1.9191111113M. Vaclavik1.80116781WOct 10 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.3671111113L. Havrda3.00118541WOct 9 · 13:00M. Vaclavik1.7351111113J. Grohsgott2.00114691WOct 9 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.73111211113J. Grohsgott2.001101391LOct 9 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr1.50781113113M. Vaclavik2.50111141122LOct 9 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.57911151162D. Mutl2.25119179113WOct 2 · 03:30M. Syroha1.4510870M. Vaclavik2.551211113WOct 2 · 02:30M. Vaclavik1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.108360LOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha1.33711112113M. Vaclavik3.25116111042
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