TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lubos Mikyska vs Miroslav Vaclavik 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Lubos Mikyska
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–4Last 9Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116117118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Lubos Mikyska @ 2.10 · Won
The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.
How it is goingLubos Mikyska above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 55.8%
74 points played in total.
The pick
Sealed 13:39Sent to Pro: Lubos Mikyska @ 2.10 · Won
55.8%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
clears by 0.2pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vaclavik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mikyska 1453 vs Vaclavik 1299
Mikyska
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikyska 80% vs Vaclavik 60%
Mikyska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikyska 56% vs Vaclavik 70%
—
Too close
14pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikyska +3 · Vaclavik +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Vaclavik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikyska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikyska 1.909 / Vaclavik 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13268543
Mikyska1.91
56%won 5 of 9 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vaclavik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 60 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikyskaVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 9 vs 131 / 23355.6%56.2%5 / 9 vs 131 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikyskaMikyska 1.91/Vaclavik 1.80
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Lubos Mikyska @ 2.10 · Won
The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.
What happened
3–1
Mikyska won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Mikyska9
WOct 10 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.209660L. Mikyska1.571111113WOct 10 · 13:30L. Mikyska1.731115113J. Grohsgott2.0041340WOct 10 · 12:00M. Lubas1.7351150L. Mikyska2.001113113LOct 10 · 11:00M. Syroha1.73117911113L. Mikyska2.0081111972WOct 10 · 10:30L. Mikyska1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83112691WOct 6 · 13:02P. Sudek1.80411811112L. Mikyska1.91116119133LOct 6 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.54101213113L. Mikyska2.2512101161LOct 6 · 11:30L. Mikyska1.831271161P. Sudek1.8314116113LOct 6 · 10:30V. Hruska Sr2.10121199113L. Mikyska1.67105111182
M. Vaclavik10
WOct 10 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.53118811113J. Grohsgott2.3881111942WOct 10 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.3671111113L. Havrda3.00118541WOct 9 · 13:00M. Vaclavik1.7351111113J. Grohsgott2.00114691WOct 9 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.73111211113J. Grohsgott2.001101391LOct 9 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr1.50781113113M. Vaclavik2.50111141122LOct 9 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.57911151162D. Mutl2.25119179113WOct 2 · 03:30M. Syroha1.4510870M. Vaclavik2.551211113WOct 2 · 02:30M. Vaclavik1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.108360LOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha1.33711112113M. Vaclavik3.25116111042WOct 2 · 00:00M. Vaclavik2.38121211113S. Mazanek1.531410551
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