TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kanak vs Erik Precek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 53 - H3 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311611411811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-10
Point 74 set 4, 8-10 · our read held Erik Precek at 54.0%
74 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–1 Erik Precek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:3454.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Precek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1550 vs Precek 1564
Precek
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 40% vs Precek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 50% vs Precek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +2 · Precek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Precek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.833 / Precek 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Precek)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13273824
Kanak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Precek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKanak1wins
AwayPrecek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKanakPrecekK − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.536.5+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 171 vs 241 / 51453.8%46.9%92 / 171 vs 241 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekKanak 1.83/Precek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 21:13A. Kanak259880E. Precek331111113
WSep 21 · 19:45A. Kanak50119118113E. Precek4051161172
A. Kanak10
WOct 10 · 13:45A. Kanak1.7311811153D. Vitasek2.007113131WOct 9 · 20:40I. Heuman1.57119521A. Kanak2.2561111113LOct 9 · 19:40K. Kleprlik1.571291112113A. Kanak2.25101151492LOct 9 · 19:10D. Vitasek2.10311119113A. Kanak1.6711971192LOct 9 · 18:10A. Kanak2.20771191I. Heuman1.6111118113WOct 8 · 16:50R. Sedlacek1.73411113122A. Kanak2.001111911143WOct 8 · 15:45A. Kanak2.00111114113T. Krenek1.73991641LOct 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.83911116112R. Sedlacek1.83118911133LOct 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.5391112782V. Konvicka2.381181011113WOct 7 · 20:45J. Przybyla2.256860A. Kanak1.571111113
E. Precek10
WOct 10 · 14:15L. Dzida2.25111113952E. Precek1.57871511113LOct 10 · 12:44E. Precek1.6749111172L. Dzida2.10111159113WOct 10 · 11:45L. Dzida1.61117101172E. Precek2.20811127113LOct 10 · 11:15T. Molin2.2511128113E. Precek1.576101151WOct 10 · 10:15E. Precek1.613111113113O. Bolcarovic2.2011681562LOct 2 · 13:18T. Krenek1.831111113E. Precek1.836690LOct 2 · 12:15E. Precek1.911111841L. Dzida1.8013611113WOct 2 · 10:45M. Macurak1.57115861E. Precek2.2591111113WOct 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73891111102E. Precek2.00111187123WOct 2 · 09:20M. Raska2.3891090E. Precek1.531112113
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