TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kanak vs Vojtech Konvicka 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111181210711811
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Adam Kanak at 62.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 5–1 Vojtech Konvicka Vojtech Konvicka has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:2962.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kanak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1548 vs Konvicka 1505
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 40% vs Konvicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Konvicka 40%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +2 · Konvicka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Kanak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.533 / Konvicka 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kanak)-3.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13263630
Kanak1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 44 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Konvicka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 01) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 35 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKanak5wins
AwayKonvicka1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderKanak leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak75%3 of 4
AwayKonvickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak4Konvicka2n = 6Kanak took 4 of 6
S2Kanak4Konvicka2n = 6Kanak took 4 of 6
S3Kanak2Konvicka4n = 6Konvicka took 4 of 6
S4Kanak5Konvicka0n = 5Kanak took 5 of 5
S5Kanak2Konvicka1n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKanakKonvickaKanak − KonvickaBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match44.337.3+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 162 vs 144 / 27754.3%52%88 / 162 vs 144 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.53/Konvicka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 1 · 13:45A. Kanak45101113113V. Konvicka391271191
WSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak4011117113V. Konvicka30951151
WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak531110912113V. Konvicka41312111052
WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak331111113V. Konvicka192980
WAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak51611611173V. Konvicka52117118152
LAug 10 · 13:40A. Kanak4411581192V. Konvicka43711113113
A. Kanak10
WOct 7 · 20:45J. Przybyla2.256860A. Kanak1.571111113WOct 7 · 19:45A. Kanak1.57671111113D. Vitasek2.2511119682LOct 7 · 18:45A. Kanak1.80116871D. Branny1.8681111113LOct 7 · 17:45A. Kanak1.619811101J. Przybyla2.2011113123LOct 3 · 13:04A. Kanak1.9115681152R. Sedlacek1.801311115113LOct 3 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.67116611143A. Kanak2.10811115122WOct 3 · 11:10M. Raska2.38113111192A. Kanak1.53911713113WOct 3 · 10:10A. Kanak1.5711111210123J. Volny2.251351012102WOct 1 · 17:30L. Dzida1.7391080A. Kanak2.001112113WOct 1 · 15:45A. Kanak2.001111911113M. Moravec1.7313711792
V. Konvicka10
LOct 1 · 17:00V. Konvicka2.0011611151M. Moravec1.7391113173LOct 1 · 16:15L. Dzida1.839111110113V. Konvicka1.8311781272WOct 1 · 15:15V. Konvicka2.10111112113M. Moravec1.671391091LOct 1 · 13:45A. Kanak1.53101113113V. Konvicka2.381271191WSep 25 · 16:44V. Konvicka1.6112116113J. Przybyla2.201051171LSep 25 · 15:45L. Kantor1.7311911113V. Konvicka2.00811591WSep 25 · 15:15J. Przybyla2.005960V. Konvicka1.731111113LSep 25 · 14:15V. Konvicka2.1066111172T. Molin1.67111198113LSep 20 · 12:50V. Konvicka1.853780T. Lysek1.851111113WSep 20 · 11:40V. Konvicka1.8313118113T. Molin1.831131181
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