TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Koczyba vs Igor Szymanski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121210111114119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:40 and never touched: 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
10121210111114119
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 2–0 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4076.6%Our read64.5%to break even at 1.55
clears by 12.1pp64.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.55 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1383 vs Szymanski 1178
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 40% vs Szymanski 20%
Koczyba
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 50% vs Szymanski 30%
Koczyba
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba +1 · Szymanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Koczyba) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.55 / Szymanski 2.32
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Koczyba)+12.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13273188
Koczyba1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 295 of 477
Up 2–0, closes it93% 149 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it78% 207 of 266
Szymanski2.32
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 95 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back10% 30 of 302
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 218
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKoczyba2wins
AwaySzymanski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKoczyba leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKoczybaSzymanskiK − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.029.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime851 / 1326 vs 121 / 50464.2%24%851 / 1326 vs 121 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.31.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.233.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaKoczyba 1.55/Szymanski 2.32
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 10 · 06:45M. Koczyba451012111113I. Szymanski46121011492
WJun 27 · 04:25M. Koczyba331111113I. Szymanski126060
M. Koczyba10
WOct 10 · 05:35M. Koczyba1.78111011113J. Jesiek1.93412521LOct 10 · 04:25K. Adamus2.0511117113M. Koczyba1.68371171LOct 10 · 03:35M. Koczyba1.956760K. Hetnar1.751111113WOct 8 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.551111113G. Jurowicz2.304680LOct 8 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.78118981M. Tkocz1.9191111113WOct 8 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.2211811113R. Komandzik4.00511451LOct 8 · 16:25K. Adamus1.851111113M. Koczyba1.808890LOct 8 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.666940W. Pytlas2.051111113WOct 8 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.501111113T. Wrzalik2.359760WOct 8 · 00:45M. Koczyba1.39861113113A. Burkacki2.80111181182
I. Szymanski10
WOct 10 · 06:00K. Adamus1.529121151I. Szymanski2.3011146113LOct 10 · 05:10I. Szymanski4.458540K. Hetnar1.151111113LOct 10 · 04:00I. Szymanski2.081510118112W. Pytlas1.681312611133LOct 7 · 01:45J. Badura1.20181111113I. Szymanski4.33209561LOct 7 · 01:00P. Kurek1.17111193I. Szymanski4.5077100LOct 7 · 00:10I. Szymanski2.5011311672M. Baron1.50911811113WOct 6 · 22:35I. Szymanski2.7511117113K. Schaniel1.40931141LOct 6 · 21:45K. Durak1.0611914123I. Szymanski8.0061112101WOct 6 · 20:30I. Szymanski2.63111138133M. Baron1.44781111112LOct 6 · 18:55I. Szymanski4.336360P. Kurek1.201111113
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