TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Krzysztof Hetnar 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511411––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:07 and never touched: 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
811511411––––
H2H Igor Szymanski 0–3 Krzysztof Hetnar Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:0783.7%Our read87.0%to break even at 1.15
short by 3.3pp87.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.15 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (79%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1167 vs Hetnar 1491
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 324 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Hetnar 100%
Hetnar
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -4 · Hetnar +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% · Strong (leans Hetnar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (87%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 4.45 / Hetnar 1.15
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Hetnar)-3.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13272876
Szymanski4.45
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 95 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back10% 30 of 302
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 218
Hetnar1.15
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 286 of 416
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it85% 227 of 267
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzymanski0wins
AwayHetnar3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHetnar leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski2Hetnar1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S2Szymanski1Hetnar2n = 3Hetnar took 2 of 3
S3Szymanski2Hetnar1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S4Szymanski0Hetnar3n = 3Hetnar took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzymanskiHetnarS − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.346.3−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 501 vs 713 / 114524%62.3%120 / 501 vs 713 / 1145Avg sets wonper match1.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarSzymanski 4.45/Hetnar 1.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.7%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 28 · 06:55I. Szymanski3211711212K. Hetnar46611711113
LSep 22 · 03:10I. Szymanski41411111232K. Hetnar51119614113
LSep 18 · 18:30I. Szymanski271110151K. Hetnar4281211113
I. Szymanski10
LOct 10 · 04:00I. Szymanski2.081510118112W. Pytlas1.681312611133LOct 7 · 01:45J. Badura1.20181111113I. Szymanski4.33209561LOct 7 · 01:00P. Kurek1.17111193I. Szymanski4.5077100LOct 7 · 00:10I. Szymanski2.5011311672M. Baron1.50911811113WOct 6 · 22:35I. Szymanski2.7511117113K. Schaniel1.40931141LOct 6 · 21:45K. Durak1.0611914123I. Szymanski8.0061112101WOct 6 · 20:30I. Szymanski2.63111138133M. Baron1.44781111112LOct 6 · 18:55I. Szymanski4.336360P. Kurek1.201111113LOct 6 · 17:45I. Szymanski7.506111121K. Durak1.0711137113LOct 6 · 16:15I. Szymanski3.7561260J. Badura1.251114113
K. Hetnar10
LOct 10 · 06:25W. Pytlas2.1511117113K. Hetnar1.60751191WOct 10 · 03:35M. Koczyba1.956760K. Hetnar1.751111113WOct 8 · 08:20P. Kurek2.10117451K. Hetnar1.6081111113WOct 8 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.301112771K. Hetnar1.2771411113WOct 8 · 05:35P. Gumulinski2.1312460K. Hetnar1.561411113WOct 8 · 04:50A. Burkacki3.50212761K. Hetnar1.27111011113WOct 8 · 03:10M. Cesarz5.803280K. Hetnar1.101111113LOct 6 · 16:40B. Madej1.93121175113K. Hetnar1.78109111172WOct 6 · 15:55M. Jozefiak2.503390K. Hetnar1.451111113WOct 6 · 13:55S. Juzek3.804990K. Hetnar1.241111113
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
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K. Hetnar
Nothing scheduled
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