TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Seliuchenko vs Oleh Kuzyshyn 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118118116––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Oleksandr Seliuchenko @ 1.50 · Won
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 59.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 3–1 Oleh Kuzyshyn Oleh Kuzyshyn has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pick
Sealed 09:03Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Seliuchenko @ 1.50 · Won
59.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 7.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Seliuchenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1649 vs Kuzyshyn 1736
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 80% vs Kuzyshyn 40%
Seliuchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 60% vs Kuzyshyn 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -1 · Kuzyshyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.50 / Kuzyshyn 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Seliuchenko)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270994
Seliuchenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Kuzyshyn2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko3wins
AwayKuzyshyn1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzyshyn33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko1Kuzyshyn3n = 4Kuzyshyn took 3 of 4
S2Seliuchenko4Kuzyshyn0n = 4Seliuchenko took 4 of 4
S3Seliuchenko2Kuzyshyn2n = 4split evenly
S4Seliuchenko2Kuzyshyn2n = 4split evenly
S5Seliuchenko2Kuzyshyn1n = 3Seliuchenko took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoKuzyshynS − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match45.843.5+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 340 vs 246 / 45256.8%54.4%193 / 340 vs 246 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.50/Kuzyshyn 2.50
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Seliuchenko @ 1.50 · Won
What happened
3–1
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 22 · 15:20O. Seliuchenko4311119123O. Kuzyshyn355911101
WJun 15 · 21:20O. Seliuchenko48411517113O. Kuzyshyn44116111512
LMay 15 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko41611111032O. Kuzyshyn50119712113
WMay 8 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko511012117113O. Kuzyshyn45121051172
O. Seliuchenko10
LOct 10 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.40101171182O. Strutinskiy2.75123115113WOct 10 · 07:50O. Seliuchenko1.5311118133A. Zozulia2.384511111WOct 10 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko1.4411116113O. Zhyrnov2.63561181WOct 9 · 16:09A. Derevianko2.001510101172O. Seliuchenko1.731312128113WOct 9 · 15:10O. Seliuchenko1.441112123O. Strutinskiy2.63910100LOct 9 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko1.571151071A. Derevianko2.2571112113WOct 9 · 12:40O. Seliuchenko1.611111123I. Nitchenko2.2078100WOct 9 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko1.501111113A. Nazarov2.505560LOct 2 · 15:40O. Seliuchenko2.6381290V. Marushchak1.441114103LOct 2 · 14:40O. Seliuchenko2.00811131282A. Hrabskyi1.731151114113
O. Kuzyshyn10
WOct 10 · 08:50O. Kuzyshyn1.531111113A. Zozulia2.385880LOct 10 · 07:20O. Kuzyshyn2.0011611121O. Strutinskiy1.7313119143LOct 10 · 05:50O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111872O. Zhyrnov1.67123511113LOct 8 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.577750V. Merzlikin2.251111113WOct 8 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113A. Droshchynskyi1.835480WOct 8 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.831111123V. Shvidkiy1.8375100WOct 8 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.36118119113Y. Holoborodko3.0081191192WOct 8 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.44111199113A. Zozulia2.6395111152WOct 7 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.611111113V. Maksuta2.207860WOct 7 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.101211133O. Zhyrnov1.65108110
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