TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Kuzyshyn vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11136111191214––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:18 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 87 set 4, 12-14 · our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 16–28 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleh Kuzyshyn has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:1854.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-28 in 44
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1740 vs Strutinskiy 1706
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 60% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Strutinskiy 50%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -2 · Strutinskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 2.00 / Strutinskiy 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strutinskiy)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13271016
Kuzyshyn2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Strutinskiy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 148 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it87% 71 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn4wins
AwayStrutinskiy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn50%4 of 8
AwayStrutinskiyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn8Strutinskiy2n = 10Kuzyshyn took 8 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzyshyn4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S5Kuzyshyn1Strutinskiy3n = 4Strutinskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynStrutinskiyK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.2−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 450 vs 431 / 82854.4%52.1%245 / 450 vs 431 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyKuzyshyn 2.00/Strutinskiy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 06:20O. Kuzyshyn345111081O. Strutinskiy4211812113
LAug 7 · 09:50O. Kuzyshyn311110641O. Strutinskiy4171211113
LJul 7 · 08:20O. Kuzyshyn31153761O. Strutinskiy46131111113
WJul 6 · 17:30O. Kuzyshyn5711111311113O. Strutinskiy4747151382
LJun 23 · 11:50O. Kuzyshyn4411118952O. Strutinskiy48691111113
WJun 22 · 20:20O. Kuzyshyn4314711113O. Strutinskiy351211391
WJun 16 · 10:20O. Kuzyshyn4611914123O. Strutinskiy4291112101
LJun 15 · 15:50O. Kuzyshyn48111494102O. Strutinskiy548121111123
WMay 26 · 09:50O. Kuzyshyn3811511113O. Strutinskiy18311221
LMay 15 · 10:20O. Kuzyshyn3631111562O. Strutinskiy49118811113
O. Kuzyshyn10
LOct 10 · 05:50O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111872O. Zhyrnov1.67123511113LOct 8 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.577750V. Merzlikin2.251111113WOct 8 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113A. Droshchynskyi1.835480WOct 8 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.831111123V. Shvidkiy1.8375100WOct 8 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.36118119113Y. Holoborodko3.0081191192WOct 8 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.44111199113A. Zozulia2.6395111152WOct 7 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.611111113V. Maksuta2.207860WOct 7 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.101211133O. Zhyrnov1.65108110WOct 7 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113A. Zozulia2.507750WOct 7 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.40111211123Y. Holoborodko2.755143101
O. Strutinskiy10
WOct 10 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.57811811113A. Zozulia2.2511411872LOct 9 · 15:10O. Seliuchenko1.441112123O. Strutinskiy2.63910100LOct 9 · 13:40O. Strutinskiy1.679350I. Nitchenko2.101111113LOct 9 · 12:10O. Strutinskiy1.686930A. Derevianko2.051111113WOct 9 · 10:40O. Strutinskiy1.5761113113A. Nazarov2.251151171WOct 6 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.10811951O. Strutinskiy1.6711811113WOct 6 · 11:20E. Hrytsenko2.50114531O. Strutinskiy1.50111211113WOct 6 · 09:50I. Nitchenko1.9110113111O. Strutinskiy1.8012911133LOct 6 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov3.259111110113O. Strutinskiy1.3311841292LOct 6 · 05:50M. Mrykh2.0071111113O. Strutinskiy1.73119581
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