TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Wasik vs David Gasparovic 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111651189––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-7
Point 65 set 4, 5-7 · our read held David Gasparovic at 54.0%
65 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0354.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gasparovic
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1751 vs Gasparovic 1772
Gasparovic
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 40% vs Gasparovic 60%
Gasparovic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 40% vs Gasparovic 60%
Gasparovic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -3 · Gasparovic +2
Wasik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 2.00 / Gasparovic 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gasparovic)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270922
Wasik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Gasparovic1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 56 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 155 vs 120 / 20258.7%59.4%91 / 155 vs 120 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicWasik 2.00/Gasparovic 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gasparovic won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Wasik10
LOct 10 · 14:15P. Wasik2.00117861J. Krames Sr1.7351111113LOct 10 · 13:15P. Wasik1.53911651M. Kocvara2.3811811113LOct 6 · 12:44P. Wasik1.678121191J. Rochowanski2.1011144113WOct 6 · 11:45P. Wasik1.8312116113L. Dobias1.831091151WOct 6 · 10:15M. Stibor2.7521140P. Wasik1.401113113LOct 6 · 09:45J. Rochowanski3.00812411113P. Wasik1.36111011982WOct 5 · 08:23R. Pisa3.75119841P. Wasik1.2591111113LOct 5 · 07:15P. Wasik1.8311811862L. Dobias1.83911911113WOct 5 · 06:15P. Wasik1.401111113R. Pisa2.753950LOct 5 · 05:15P. Wasik1.501151031V. Burylov2.5061112113
D. Gasparovic10
WOct 10 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.831111113M. Kocvara1.837990WOct 10 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.611111793J. Krames Sr2.20521161LOct 9 · 20:24D. Gasparovic1.2089111162J. Dolezal4.33111141113WOct 9 · 19:15J. Dolezal3.50116281D. Gasparovic1.2881111113LOct 9 · 17:45D. Gasparovic1.8061180L. Heinzl1.911113113LOct 6 · 20:48D. Gasparovic1.8311101261M. Zelinka1.8391214113WOct 6 · 19:45J. Chalupa1.837370D. Gasparovic1.831111113WOct 6 · 18:45M. Zelinka2.0041112882D. Gasparovic1.731161011113WOct 6 · 17:15V. Burylov1.91118471D. Gasparovic1.8091111113LOct 4 · 16:44M. Makara2.751171110113D. Gasparovic1.4071191282
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