TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Wasik vs Jan Krames Sr 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711811611––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:51 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Jan Krames Sr at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5154.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krames Sr
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1773 vs Krames Sr 1777
Krames Sr
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 60% vs Krames Sr 40%
Wasik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 50% vs Krames Sr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -1 · Krames Sr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Krames Sr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krames Sr form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 2.00 / Krames Sr 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krames Sr)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270596
Wasik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Krames Sr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 118 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it87% 67 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 97 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikKrames SrBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 153 vs 385 / 68959.5%55.9%91 / 153 vs 385 / 689Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
Krames SrWasik 2.00/Krames Sr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krames Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krames Sr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Wasik10
LOct 10 · 15:15P. Wasik2.00911581D. Gasparovic1.731161193LOct 10 · 13:15P. Wasik1.53911651M. Kocvara2.3811811113LOct 6 · 12:44P. Wasik1.678121191J. Rochowanski2.1011144113WOct 6 · 11:45P. Wasik1.8312116113L. Dobias1.831091151WOct 6 · 10:15M. Stibor2.7521140P. Wasik1.401113113LOct 6 · 09:45J. Rochowanski3.00812411113P. Wasik1.36111011982WOct 5 · 08:23R. Pisa3.75119841P. Wasik1.2591111113LOct 5 · 07:15P. Wasik1.8311811862L. Dobias1.83911911113WOct 5 · 06:15P. Wasik1.401111113R. Pisa2.753950LOct 5 · 05:15P. Wasik1.501151031V. Burylov2.5061112113
J. Krames Sr10
LOct 10 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.611111793J. Krames Sr2.20521161WOct 6 · 16:44L. Veigl2.50114591J. Krames Sr1.5081111113WOct 6 · 15:45J. Krames Sr1.611111153L. Veigl2.2047130LOct 6 · 14:15V. Grubr2.501041111113J. Krames Sr1.5012119892LOct 6 · 13:45M. Makara2.63149116113J. Krames Sr1.44121191192LOct 3 · 08:44L. Veigl2.101113113J. Krames Sr1.6791180WOct 3 · 07:15J. Krames Sr1.33111111123O. Mezera3.251328101WOct 3 · 06:15J. Krames Sr1.5391111113M. Makara2.38118261WOct 3 · 05:15J. Krames Sr1.611191114113L. Veigl2.2081121662WOct 1 · 16:13J. Krames Sr1.4411119113O. Mezera2.63931161
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