TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
David Gasparovic vs Martin Kocvara 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Gasparovic above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-6
Point 53 set 3, 9-6 · our read held Martin Kocvara at 54.0%
53 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2254.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kocvara
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Gasparovic 1757 vs Kocvara 1783
Kocvara
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasparovic 40% vs Kocvara 60%
Kocvara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasparovic 60% vs Kocvara 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasparovic +1 · Kocvara +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kocvara) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasparovic form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasparovic 1.833 / Kocvara 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocvara)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13270597
Gasparovic1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kocvara1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasparovicKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 201 vs 109 / 18559.2%58.9%119 / 201 vs 109 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraGasparovic 1.83/Kocvara 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gasparovic won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Gasparovic10
WOct 10 · 15:15P. Wasik2.00911581D. Gasparovic1.731161193WOct 10 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.611111793J. Krames Sr2.20521161LOct 9 · 20:24D. Gasparovic1.2089111162J. Dolezal4.33111141113WOct 9 · 19:15J. Dolezal3.50116281D. Gasparovic1.2881111113LOct 9 · 17:45D. Gasparovic1.8061180L. Heinzl1.911113113LOct 6 · 20:48D. Gasparovic1.8311101261M. Zelinka1.8391214113WOct 6 · 19:45J. Chalupa1.837370D. Gasparovic1.831111113WOct 6 · 18:45M. Zelinka2.0041112882D. Gasparovic1.731161011113WOct 6 · 17:15V. Burylov1.91118471D. Gasparovic1.8091111113LOct 4 · 16:44M. Makara2.751171110113D. Gasparovic1.4071191282
M. Kocvara10
WOct 10 · 13:15P. Wasik1.53911651M. Kocvara2.3811811113WOct 8 · 08:45L. Dobias1.676116111M. Kocvara2.1011711133LOct 8 · 07:45M. Kocvara2.1010911101L. Dobias1.6712117123WOct 8 · 06:15M. Bouska1.615111111102M. Kocvara2.20118313123LOct 8 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.801111113M. Kocvara1.917790WOct 7 · 08:53M. Kocvara2.256111111113L. Dobias1.5711513382WOct 7 · 07:45V. Burylov1.911112910112M. Kocvara1.808101112133LOct 7 · 06:45L. Dobias1.44111110123M. Kocvara2.637612101WOct 7 · 05:15J. Rochowanski2.3811118562M. Kocvara1.53951111113WOct 4 · 12:23M. Kocvara2.0011912113O. Kaderabek1.738111031
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