TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ladislav Dobias vs Martin Kocvara 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111176111113––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13
76 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 9–7 Martin Kocvara Martin Kocvara has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Dobias beat Kocvara 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.666 / Kocvara 2.10
Setka Cup · #13263594
Dobias1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 204 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it96% 74 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it79% 145 of 184
Kocvara2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog56% won 60 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back46% 25 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias6wins
AwayKocvara4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias66.7%6 of 9
AwayKocvaran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias9Kocvara1n = 10Dobias took 9 of 10
S2Dobias4Kocvara6n = 10Kocvara took 6 of 10
S3Dobias4Kocvara6n = 10Kocvara took 6 of 10
S4Dobias6Kocvara4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S5Dobias1Kocvara2n = 3Kocvara took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasKocvaraD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.640.7+1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 821 vs 107 / 18354.7%58.5%449 / 821 vs 107 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraDobias 1.67/Kocvara 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 07:45L. Dobias4212117123M. Kocvara4010911101
LOct 7 · 08:53L. Dobias4011513382M. Kocvara506111111113
WOct 7 · 06:45L. Dobias44111110123M. Kocvara357612101
LOct 3 · 17:15L. Dobias4111111091M. Kocvara4513912113
WAug 26 · 10:45L. Dobias48119611113M. Kocvara4231111982
WAug 18 · 12:55L. Dobias47111111143M. Kocvara377135121
LAug 18 · 10:15L. Dobias371156151M. Kocvara4451111173
WAug 12 · 05:15L. Dobias4211119113M. Kocvara29571161
WAug 11 · 20:48L. Dobias44111111113M. Kocvara34613781
LAug 11 · 19:45L. Dobias4112711562M. Kocvara511011811113
L. Dobias10
WOct 8 · 07:45M. Kocvara2.1010911101L. Dobias1.6712117123LOct 8 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.831110811113L. Dobias1.8381211992LOct 8 · 05:15M. Bouska1.571117113L. Dobias2.2551590LOct 7 · 16:19L. Dobias1.807514101L. Heinzl1.91111112123LOct 7 · 15:45M. Zelinka1.8051111113L. Dobias1.91116581LOct 7 · 14:45L. Heinzl2.101113123L. Dobias1.67611100LOct 7 · 13:15S. Rejent2.38119134113L. Dobias1.53511111182LOct 7 · 08:53M. Kocvara2.256111111113L. Dobias1.5711513382WOct 7 · 07:15J. Rochowanski2.3811113582L. Dobias1.53691111113WOct 7 · 06:45L. Dobias1.44111110123M. Kocvara2.637612101
M. Kocvara10
LOct 8 · 07:45M. Kocvara2.1010911101L. Dobias1.6712117123WOct 8 · 06:15M. Bouska1.615111111102M. Kocvara2.20118313123LOct 8 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.801111113M. Kocvara1.917790WOct 7 · 08:53M. Kocvara2.256111111113L. Dobias1.5711513382WOct 7 · 07:45V. Burylov1.911112910112M. Kocvara1.808101112133LOct 7 · 06:45L. Dobias1.44111110123M. Kocvara2.637612101WOct 7 · 05:15J. Rochowanski2.3811118562M. Kocvara1.53951111113WOct 4 · 12:23M. Kocvara2.0011912113O. Kaderabek1.738111031LOct 4 · 11:15O. Kaderabek1.801011115113M. Kocvara1.9112441182WOct 4 · 10:45M. Kocvara1.9191114113R. Pisa1.801151261
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