TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ladislav Dobias vs Lukas Heinzl 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71151114121012––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12
82 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 46–31 Lukas Heinzl Lukas Heinzl has won 31 of their 77 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Heinzl beat Dobias 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.80 / Heinzl 1.909
Setka Cup · #13260419
Dobias1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 202 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it79% 144 of 182
Heinzl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 35 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias7wins
AwayHeinzl3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias100%5 of 5
AwayHeinzl60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias5Heinzl5n = 10split evenly
S2Dobias8Heinzl2n = 10Dobias took 8 of 10
S3Dobias3Heinzl7n = 10Heinzl took 7 of 10
S4Dobias5Heinzl1n = 6Dobias took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasHeinzlD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.231.8+5.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 817 vs 345 / 63954.8%54%448 / 817 vs 345 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlDobias 1.80/Heinzl 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 14:45L. Dobias27611100L. Heinzl361113123
WSep 26 · 09:45L. Dobias47711711113L. Heinzl3811611552
LSep 10 · 05:45L. Dobias37812981L. Heinzl43111011113
WSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias44111111113L. Heinzl36139771
LAug 26 · 11:45L. Dobias30101190L. Heinzl361213113
WAug 24 · 05:45L. Dobias331111113L. Heinzl219660
WAug 21 · 09:45L. Dobias3911116113L. Heinzl24731131
WJul 29 · 08:48L. Dobias4111118113L. Heinzl32971151
WJul 29 · 07:45L. Dobias4111118113L. Heinzl33771181
WJul 28 · 07:15L. Dobias331111113L. Heinzl199370
L. Dobias10
LOct 7 · 15:45M. Zelinka1.8051111113L. Dobias1.91116581LOct 7 · 14:45L. Heinzl2.101113123L. Dobias1.67611100LOct 7 · 13:15S. Rejent2.38119134113L. Dobias1.53511111182LOct 7 · 08:53M. Kocvara2.256111111113L. Dobias1.5711513382WOct 7 · 07:15J. Rochowanski2.3811113582L. Dobias1.53691111113WOct 7 · 06:45L. Dobias1.44111110123M. Kocvara2.637612101WOct 7 · 05:45L. Dobias1.831311113V. Burylov1.8311880LOct 6 · 12:13L. Dobias1.53991181M. Stibor2.3811114113LOct 6 · 11:45P. Wasik1.8312116113L. Dobias1.831091151LOct 6 · 10:45J. Rochowanski2.6311111211113L. Dobias1.4451314892
L. Heinzl10
LOct 7 · 15:15S. Rejent2.50712611113L. Heinzl1.50111011592WOct 7 · 14:45L. Heinzl2.101113123L. Dobias1.67611100LOct 7 · 13:45L. Heinzl1.911112351M. Zelinka1.8091411113WOct 4 · 12:55R. Pisa2.109450L. Heinzl1.671111113LOct 4 · 11:45L. Heinzl1.73510111192R. Pisa2.00111277113WOct 4 · 10:15O. Kaderabek2.50410141192L. Heinzl1.501112125113LOct 4 · 09:45M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Heinzl1.448780WSep 30 · 16:21L. Heinzl1.171114104113M. Myler4.50712121132WSep 30 · 15:15M. Myler2.109101191L. Heinzl1.6711126113WSep 30 · 14:45L. Heinzl1.611211123L. Rulc2.20107100
Upcoming Matches
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