TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Zbigniew Sobkow vs Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181165111012511
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Wojciech Wojtaszczyk @ 1.50 · Won
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 65.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 4–8 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Zbigniew Sobkow has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pick
Sealed 09:10Sent to Pro: Wojciech Wojtaszczyk @ 1.50 · Won
65.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1290 vs Wojtaszczyk 1437
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 20% vs Wojtaszczyk 40%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow +1 · Wojtaszczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Wojtaszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 2.50 / Wojtaszczyk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13269138
Sobkow2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Wojtaszczyk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 374 of 544
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it85% 292 of 345
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobkow4wins
AwayWojtaszczyk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobkow50%4 of 8
AwayWojtaszczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobkow8Wojtaszczyk2n = 10Sobkow took 8 of 10
S2Sobkow3Wojtaszczyk7n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Sobkow6Wojtaszczyk4n = 10Sobkow took 6 of 10
S4Sobkow3Wojtaszczyk5n = 8Wojtaszczyk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobkowWojtaszczykS − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.036.1−0.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 157 vs 587 / 87945.9%66.8%72 / 157 vs 587 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykSobkow 2.50/Wojtaszczyk 1.50
Hit
What we said
65.7%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Wojciech Wojtaszczyk @ 1.50 · Won
What happened
2–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 10 · 03:00Z. Sobkow331111113W. Wojtaszczyk204880
LSep 27 · 10:35Z. Sobkow371081181W. Wojtaszczyk4312119113
WSep 27 · 03:00Z. Sobkow331111113W. Wojtaszczyk218670
LSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow33116791W. Wojtaszczyk4181111113
LSep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow37128981W. Wojtaszczyk43101111113
LSep 5 · 11:25Z. Sobkow29461181W. Wojtaszczyk4111118113
WSep 5 · 05:15Z. Sobkow3912511113W. Wojtaszczyk331011841
LJun 19 · 14:20Z. Sobkow4211951162W. Wojtaszczyk46811115113
WJun 19 · 08:10Z. Sobkow4114511113W. Wojtaszczyk371211771
Z. Sobkow10
WOct 10 · 09:50I. Szymanski3.0011114942Z. Sobkow1.36781111113LOct 10 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.639111031S. Szostok1.4411412113LOct 10 · 06:55Z. Sobkow1.44111012101G. Sawicki2.6381214123LOct 10 · 05:40Z. Sobkow3.0012750J. Wieczerzak1.361411113LOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.509570M. Lach1.501111113WOct 10 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.631111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.444880WOct 9 · 14:20Z. Sobkow1.671112113M. Baron2.1041080WOct 9 · 12:40O. Sokolowski2.638660Z. Sobkow1.441111113LOct 9 · 11:50L. Oracz1.4411118113Z. Sobkow2.63691151LOct 9 · 11:00Z. Sobkow2.10991181M. Jozefiak1.6711118113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LOct 10 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak2.251411113W. Wojtaszczyk1.5712740LOct 10 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak1.6711117123W. Wojtaszczyk2.107311101WOct 10 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00811121392W. Wojtaszczyk1.731141411113WOct 10 · 05:15M. Lach1.917711111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LOct 10 · 04:30G. Sawicki3.0011114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.36761191LOct 10 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.631111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.444880WOct 4 · 13:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.50313511113D. Swider2.50111111892WOct 4 · 12:40W. Wojtaszczyk1.40118911113R. Idaczyk2.7561111892LOct 4 · 11:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.30981141W. Buczynski3.4011118113WOct 4 · 10:10P. Polok1.835770W. Wojtaszczyk1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.