TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk vs Dariusz Swider 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111311511118119
Dariusz Swider
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Wojtaszczyk above · Dariusz Swider below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 62.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 1–0 Dariusz Swider Dariusz Swider has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5362.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wojtaszczyk 1462 vs Swider 1440
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wojtaszczyk 60% vs Swider 80%
Swider
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wojtaszczyk 70% vs Swider 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wojtaszczyk +1 · Swider +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Wojtaszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Swider form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWojtaszczyk 1.50 / Swider 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13242032
Wojtaszczyk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 374 of 543
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it84% 293 of 347
Swider2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWojtaszczyk1wins
AwaySwider0wins
Wojtaszczyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
This 1 meeting
MetricWojtaszczykSwiderW − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1
Career, not this matchup
MetricWojtaszczykSwiderBasisWin rate · lifetime583 / 871 vs 11 / 1966.9%57.9%583 / 871 vs 11 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykWojtaszczyk 1.50/Swider 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wojtaszczyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WOct 4 · 12:40W. Wojtaszczyk1.40118911113R. Idaczyk2.7561111892LOct 4 · 11:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.30981141W. Buczynski3.4011118113WOct 4 · 10:10P. Polok1.835770W. Wojtaszczyk1.831111113WOct 4 · 09:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.831112113J. Jesiek1.8371040LOct 4 · 07:45W. Wojtaszczyk1.83891151P. Polok1.8311119113LOct 4 · 06:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.408940R. Idaczyk2.751111113WOct 4 · 05:15W. Wojtaszczyk1.331113113W. Buczynski3.2591160WOct 4 · 04:10D. Swider1.831171041W. Wojtaszczyk1.839111273WOct 4 · 03:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.6791111123J. Jesiek2.101198101WOct 3 · 13:55L. Bernacki2.5010101161W. Wojtaszczyk1.5012126113
D. Swider10
WOct 4 · 13:05P. Polok1.5011811792D. Swider2.50711611113WOct 4 · 12:15D. Swider1.61811129113J. Jesiek2.20117101182LOct 4 · 10:35D. Swider1.44111013872W. Buczynski2.631121111113WOct 4 · 09:50R. Idaczyk2.105640D. Swider1.671111113WOct 4 · 08:35D. Swider1.7311113113J. Jesiek2.00471181LOct 4 · 06:55D. Swider1.91117140P. Polok1.801311163LOct 4 · 05:40D. Swider1.5778100R. Idaczyk2.251111123LOct 4 · 04:10D. Swider1.831171041W. Wojtaszczyk1.839111273WOct 4 · 03:00D. Swider1.5311511113W. Buczynski2.38511951WOct 3 · 17:05D. Swider1.8591111113R. Idaczyk1.85116571
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