TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Marcelo Aguirre vs John Misal 3-1 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Oct 9Finished
Marcelo Aguirre
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111119811113––
John Misal
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingMarcelo Aguirre above · John Misal below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 65 set 4, 11-3
65 points played in total.
H2H Marcelo Aguirre 1–0 John Misal John Misal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Misal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAguirre 1.30 / Misal 3.40
Challenger Series TT · #13268357
Aguirre1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite89% won 23 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Misal3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAguirre1wins
AwayMisal0wins
Aguirre leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAguirreMisalA − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAguirreMisalBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 31 vs 11 / 1690.3%68.8%28 / 31 vs 11 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.241.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AguirreAguirre 1.30/Misal 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Aguirre won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 8 · 06:30M. Aguirre4111118113J. Misal33971161
M. Aguirre10
WOct 9 · 07:00X. Dixon7.005990M. Aguirre1.081111113WOct 8 · 17:30A. Moreno12.005960M. Aguirre1.011111113WOct 8 · 14:30M. Henninger2.63118541M. Aguirre1.4491111113WOct 8 · 13:00L. Dreykorn10.505730M. Aguirre1.021111113WOct 8 · 11:00B. Lei2.50111154172M. Aguirre1.50971111193LOct 8 · 10:00K. Fadeev2.10119128113M. Aguirre1.67711101182WOct 8 · 06:30J. Misal3.40971161M. Aguirre1.3011118113WOct 6 · 10:59M. Aguirre1.5011911113C. Besnier2.50710551WOct 6 · 09:15M. Aguirre—141311133J. Loffler—16114111WOct 6 · 08:00K. Zimmermann3.404440M. Aguirre1.301111113
J. Misal10
LOct 9 · 10:40J. Misal1.914790K. Fadeev1.801111113WOct 9 · 08:00J. Misal1.2551111113X. Dixon3.75118971WOct 8 · 17:00J. Misal1.1011117113L. Dreykorn6.50871181WOct 8 · 15:00J. Misal2.20111186123K. Fadeev1.61621111102WOct 8 · 14:00J. Misal1.13117116113A. Moreno5.5091141192WOct 8 · 10:30J. Misal2.1011711113M. Henninger1.67711941LOct 8 · 08:30J. Misal2.2091111992B. Lei1.61119911113LOct 8 · 06:30J. Misal3.40971161M. Aguirre1.3011118113LSep 10 · 02:00J. Misal7.0013141012112S. Gnanasekaran1.0811161210133WMar 10 · 11:40T. Colvin1.4411911101J. Misal2.6391113123
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