TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ondrej Mezera vs Marek Vyskocil 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117411117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Marek Vyskocil at 57.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 34–45 Marek Vyskocil Ondrej Mezera has won 34 of their 79 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:1257.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
34-45 in 79
Vyskocil
Wrong
gap of 11 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1580 vs Vyskocil 1664
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 20% vs Vyskocil 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 40% vs Vyskocil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -3 · Vyskocil -1
Mezera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Vyskocil) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mezera form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 2.10 / Vyskocil 1.666
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vyskocil)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13266185
Mezera2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 122 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back31% 51 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back18% 14 of 77
Vyskocil1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 02) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 43 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMezera5wins
AwayVyskocil5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera100%4 of 4
AwayVyskocil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S2Mezera4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Mezera5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S4Mezera5Vyskocil2n = 7Mezera took 5 of 7
S5Mezera1Vyskocil2n = 3Vyskocil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMezeraVyskocilM − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.6+0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 810 vs 229 / 42848.5%53.5%393 / 810 vs 229 / 428Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilMezera 2.10/Vyskocil 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 2 · 15:15O. Mezera3117680M. Vyskocil411911113
LOct 1 · 13:15O. Mezera4247111192M. Vyskocil46111158113
WSep 24 · 16:24O. Mezera4311911123M. Vyskocil317113101
LSep 24 · 15:15O. Mezera35713691M. Vyskocil44111111113
WAug 24 · 14:45O. Mezera4211119113M. Vyskocil27731161
LAug 17 · 15:15O. Mezera2991190M. Vyskocil351113113
LAug 14 · 17:15O. Mezera50101311792M. Vyskocil541211911113
WJul 30 · 08:18O. Mezera48691111113M. Vyskocil4411119762
WJul 23 · 13:45O. Mezera341112113M. Vyskocil2581070
O. Mezera10
LOct 9 · 14:15O. Mezera2.7511441192L. Rulc1.40611119113LOct 5 · 16:23O. Mezera2.25711951A. Radkovsky1.5711911113LOct 5 · 15:15A. Radkovsky1.61117111113O. Mezera2.2071151172LOct 5 · 14:45O. Mezera2.00612861S. Rejent1.73111011113WOct 5 · 13:45O. Mezera2.10511911113V. Grubr1.6711711892LOct 4 · 20:48L. Veigl1.671381112113O. Mezera2.10151161072WOct 4 · 19:15T. Liska1.40111011882O. Mezera2.75512311113LOct 4 · 18:45O. Mezera2.207121011102L. Veigl1.611110129123WOct 4 · 17:45O. Mezera2.201211113S. Rejent1.6110990WOct 3 · 08:13M. Makara1.61101271182O. Mezera2.201210117113
M. Vyskocil10
LOct 2 · 16:45M. Makara1.67118118113M. Vyskocil2.1081131192WOct 2 · 15:15M. Vyskocil1.671911113O. Mezera2.1017680WOct 2 · 14:15M. Vyskocil2.25911119113M. Makara1.5711661162LOct 2 · 13:15M. Vyskocil1.509118121T. Liska2.5011911143WOct 2 · 08:23M. Vyskocil2.501111113O. Kaderabek1.509390LOct 2 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.801111101122R. Pisa1.91671211143LOct 2 · 06:15L. Adam1.401114118113M. Vyskocil2.7551691182LOct 2 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.5771714123M. Vyskocil2.25111512101LOct 1 · 16:43M. Vyskocil1.671511581L. Rulc2.1017811113WOct 1 · 15:45L. Rulc1.57811871M. Vyskocil2.2511911113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.