TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Marek Vyskocil vs Michal Makara 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116116911116
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Michal Makara at 59.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 10–13 Michal Makara Marek Vyskocil has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1159.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Makara
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Makara
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1651 vs Makara 1683
Makara
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 20% vs Makara 80%
Makara
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 40% vs Makara 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -1 · Makara +4
Makara
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Makara) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.25 / Makara 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Makara)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229277
Vyskocil2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Makara1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil2wins
AwayMakara8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskociln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMakara87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil2Makara8n = 10Makara took 8 of 10
S2Vyskocil4Makara6n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S3Vyskocil3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S4Vyskocil2Makara5n = 7Makara took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilMakaraV − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.036.9−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 425 vs 501 / 105153.4%47.7%227 / 425 vs 501 / 1051Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraVyskocil 2.25/Makara 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2110560M. Makara341211113
LAug 24 · 16:19M. Vyskocil4039111162M. Makara38111123113
WAug 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil48117118113M. Makara4031181172
LAug 20 · 10:30M. Vyskocil2679100M. Makara341111123
LAug 14 · 11:45M. Vyskocil32711771M. Makara3711411113
LAug 4 · 10:15M. Vyskocil229760M. Makara331111113
LAug 3 · 14:15M. Vyskocil27511381M. Makara4111811113
WAug 3 · 08:43M. Vyskocil4291111113M. Makara33115981
LAug 3 · 07:45M. Vyskocil32911931M. Makara3911611113
LJul 30 · 06:15M. Vyskocil30118471M. Makara4071111113
M. Vyskocil10
WOct 2 · 15:15M. Vyskocil1.671911113O. Mezera2.1017680LOct 2 · 13:15M. Vyskocil1.509118121T. Liska2.5011911143WOct 2 · 08:23M. Vyskocil2.501111113O. Kaderabek1.509390LOct 2 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.801111101122R. Pisa1.91671211143LOct 2 · 06:15L. Adam1.401114118113M. Vyskocil2.7551691182LOct 2 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.5771714123M. Vyskocil2.25111512101LOct 1 · 16:43M. Vyskocil1.671511581L. Rulc2.1017811113WOct 1 · 15:45L. Rulc1.57811871M. Vyskocil2.2511911113LOct 1 · 14:45J. Krames Sr1.5011117113M. Vyskocil2.50371171WOct 1 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2047111192M. Vyskocil1.61111158113
M. Makara10
WOct 2 · 13:45O. Mezera2.20651171M. Makara1.6111119113WSep 29 · 13:09T. Liska1.8398111152M. Makara1.83111197113WSep 29 · 11:30L. Rulc1.91101490M. Makara1.801216113WSep 29 · 11:00M. Makara1.6714611163T. Liska2.1012118141LSep 29 · 10:00M. Makara2.2081111692L. Dobias1.61119911113WSep 28 · 16:23A. Radkovsky2.10117991M. Makara1.6741111113LSep 28 · 15:15S. Rejent1.731011811113M. Makara2.0012911862LSep 28 · 14:45M. Makara1.61119111152A. Radkovsky2.20131172113LSep 28 · 13:45M. Makara2.207360L. Heinzl1.611111113LSep 26 · 20:49L. Dobias1.61115119113M. Makara2.2081191172
Upcoming Matches
M. Vyskocil
Nothing scheduled
M. Makara
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.