TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kotiash vs Volodymyr Korobko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1187111210116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:11 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Korobko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 59.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 0–1 Volodymyr Korobko Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:1159.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Korobko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1455 vs Korobko 1491
Korobko
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 40% vs Korobko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 60% vs Korobko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -2 · Korobko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Korobko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 2.25 / Korobko 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Korobko)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13266054
Kotiash2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 50 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 55
Korobko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 35 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKotiash0wins
AwayKorobko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKorobko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKotiashKorobkoKotiash − KorobkoBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.052.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 466 vs 207 / 46446.8%44.6%218 / 466 vs 207 / 464Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoKotiash 2.25/Korobko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotiash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 2 · 20:15A. Kotiash4131211692V. Korobko521110911113
A. Kotiash10
LOct 10 · 00:45A. Kotiash2.253611141M. Slozka1.5711119163LOct 9 · 23:15A. Kotiash2.10511891V. Moshovskyi1.6711611113WOct 9 · 21:45A. Kotiash2.38481113113O. Gazhula1.53111171172WOct 9 · 20:15A. Kotiash2.631011119113I. Fashchevskyi1.4412891162LOct 6 · 11:00A. Kotiash2.001113731O. Volynets1.73131111113WOct 6 · 09:00O. Osadchyi2.639101181A. Kotiash1.4411123113WOct 6 · 08:00A. Kotiash1.67613116113A. Kurtenko2.10111171192WOct 6 · 07:00I. Emets1.918660A. Kotiash1.801111113WOct 6 · 05:30A. Kotiash1.53661211113O. Leonenko2.38111110482LOct 4 · 10:55A. Kotiash3.008940D. Palii1.361111113
V. Korobko10
WOct 10 · 01:15V. Korobko2.101111113V. Moshovskyi1.678860LOct 10 · 00:15V. Korobko1.8010890I. Fashchevskyi1.911211113LOct 9 · 22:45V. Korobko2.2066110M. Slozka1.611111133WOct 9 · 20:45V. Korobko1.73771111113O. Gazhula2.0011115982LOct 3 · 01:48D. Palii1.611211113V. Korobko2.2010780LOct 3 · 00:45O. Sydorchuk2.25101411113V. Korobko1.571212671WOct 2 · 23:15V. Korobko2.751111113D. Palii1.407770WOct 2 · 21:45V. Korobko2.001111133O. Gazhula1.7399110WOct 2 · 20:15V. Korobko1.671110911113A. Kotiash2.1031211692WSep 29 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.535970V. Korobko2.381111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.