TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Balazs Lei vs Linus Dreykorn 3-0 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Oct 9Finished
Balazs Lei
Home
1.01
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116118––––
Linus Dreykorn
Away
15.00
At publish
Lost last 17Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 17
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched: 93.7% is still 93.7%
Graded at full timeBalazs Lei to win
93.7%
93.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1311116118––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2093.7%Our read99.0%to break even at 1.01
short by 5.3pp99.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.01 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.01 (94%)
Lei
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lei 1848 vs Dreykorn 1008
Lei
Correct
both rated, 840 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lei 60% vs Dreykorn 0%
Lei
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lei 70% vs Dreykorn 0%
Lei
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lei +1 · Dreykorn -17
Dreykorn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 94% · Strong (leans Lei) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lei form (60%) is below what odds imply (99%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLei 1.01 / Dreykorn 15.00
Signal prob.94% / 6%
Edge (Lei)-5.3pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #13262725
Lei1.01
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Dreykorn15.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 17
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog4% won 1 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeiDreykornBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 6 vs 3 / 3566.7%8.6%4 / 6 vs 3 / 35Avg sets wonper match2.70.8per matchAvg pointsper match42.526.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LeiLei 1.01/Dreykorn 15.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
93.7%
Lei · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lei won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Lei10
WOct 9 · 09:43B. Lei1.57951111123K. Fadeev2.25111194102WOct 9 · 06:30B. Lei1.831112113K. Fadeev1.8321040LOct 8 · 16:00B. Lei1.1011781182A. Moreno6.50111116113WOct 8 · 12:30B. Lei1.5311118113M. Henninger2.38681141LOct 8 · 11:00B. Lei2.50111154172M. Aguirre1.50971111193WOct 8 · 08:30J. Misal2.2091111992B. Lei1.61119911113WOct 8 · 07:00B. Lei—1111143X. Dixon—78120WApr 28 · 19:10S. Gulomov—412681B. Lei—111011113LJan 30 · 16:25B. Lei3.40129511102S. Gnanasekaran1.301011119123WJan 30 · 10:20S. Suravajjula1.40911981B. Lei2.7511411113
L. Dreykorn10
LOct 8 · 17:00J. Misal1.1011117113L. Dreykorn6.50871181LOct 8 · 15:30L. Dreykorn6.0011129352X. Dixon1.116101111113LOct 8 · 13:00L. Dreykorn10.505730M. Aguirre1.021111113LOct 8 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.051111113L. Dreykorn8.508970LOct 8 · 09:30A. Moreno1.831111143L. Dreykorn1.8376120LOct 8 · 07:30M. Henninger1.0511118113L. Dreykorn8.50641181LJun 30 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.051111113L. Dreykorn8.504780LJun 29 · 16:30L. Kraus1.221211113L. Dreykorn4.0010880LJun 29 · 15:00D. Rinderer1.081111113L. Dreykorn7.002430LJun 29 · 13:30L. Dreykorn10.5077121352K. Fadeev1.0211111011113
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