TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Sedlacek vs Tomas Krenek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611711––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 13–13 Tomas Krenek Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:3954.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1585 vs Krenek 1676
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 80% vs Krenek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 60% vs Krenek 80%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +3 · Krenek +1
Sedlacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Krenek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 2.00 / Krenek 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Krenek)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13261899
Sedlacek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 40 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Krenek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 132 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it73% 87 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek75%3 of 4
AwayKrenek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sedlacek6Krenek4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek5Krenek4n = 9Sedlacek took 5 of 9
S5Sedlacek2Krenek1n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekKrenekS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.4−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 357 vs 515 / 100147.3%51.5%169 / 357 vs 515 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekSedlacek 2.00/Krenek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 07:10R. Sedlacek3811115113T. Krenek36881191
WSep 28 · 07:40R. Sedlacek49116147113T. Krenek47811121152
WSep 24 · 10:40R. Sedlacek4211119113T. Krenek30651181
LSep 24 · 06:40R. Sedlacek4891112792T. Krenek481151011113
WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek4591311123T. Krenek3711115101
WAug 18 · 17:08R. Sedlacek46121211113T. Krenek391410961
WAug 18 · 14:10R. Sedlacek518101111113T. Krenek4811129972
LAug 10 · 12:10R. Sedlacek387315131T. Krenek50111113153
LJul 15 · 07:10R. Sedlacek32133791T. Krenek44111111113
LApr 22 · 12:40R. Sedlacek2366110T. Krenek351111133
R. Sedlacek10
WOct 6 · 13:14R. Sedlacek1.80117116113D. Pawlik1.9131191182WOct 6 · 11:45T. Kindl2.101113581R. Sedlacek1.6781511113WOct 6 · 11:15J. Przybyla2.63116315102R. Sedlacek1.449111113123LOct 6 · 10:15R. Sedlacek1.8011811272D. Pawlik1.918111110113WOct 6 · 08:38M. Moravec1.80137891R. Sedlacek1.91111111113LOct 6 · 08:10D. Velky Jr1.8071111133R. Sedlacek1.911187111WOct 6 · 07:10R. Sedlacek2.0011115113T. Krenek1.73881191LOct 6 · 05:40M. Moravec1.67101211123R. Sedlacek2.1012105101WOct 3 · 16:50A. Cizek2.603111061R. Sedlacek1.4411912113LOct 3 · 15:40M. Moravec1.80911148113R. Sedlacek1.91119121192
T. Krenek10
WOct 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.831111715113J. Skvrna1.8379111782LOct 6 · 12:10T. Krenek1.736760B. Mrowetz2.001111113WOct 6 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.7381471172T. Krenek2.001112118113WOct 6 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.73911111182T. Krenek2.00114138113WOct 6 · 09:08T. Krenek1.671112911113D. Velky Jr2.10710111362WOct 6 · 07:40M. Moravec2.004880T. Krenek1.731111113LOct 6 · 07:10R. Sedlacek2.0011115113T. Krenek1.73881191WOct 6 · 06:10T. Krenek1.67711511113D. Velky Jr2.1011911952WOct 5 · 13:15R. Benes1.915980T. Krenek1.801111113WOct 5 · 12:15M. Moravec1.83651391T. Krenek1.83111111113
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