TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Romaniak vs Oleg Pavlyuk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116116––––
Oleg Pavlyuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:46 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Pavlyuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Romaniak above · Oleg Pavlyuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Oleg Pavlyuk at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Romaniak 0–1 Oleg Pavlyuk Ivan Romaniak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:4654.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pavlyuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Romaniak 1639 vs Pavlyuk 1601
Romaniak
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romaniak 40% vs Pavlyuk 60%
Pavlyuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romaniak 40% vs Pavlyuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romaniak -2 · Pavlyuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pavlyuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomaniak 2.00 / Pavlyuk 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pavlyuk)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261625
Romaniak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 121 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back27% 48 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 106
Pavlyuk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRomaniak0wins
AwayPavlyuk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPavlyuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRomaniakPavlyukR − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomaniakPavlyukBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 586 vs 17 / 4944.5%34.7%261 / 586 vs 17 / 49Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PavlyukRomaniak 2.00/Pavlyuk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pavlyuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 19 · 14:35I. Romaniak4991112892O. Pavlyuk471141011113
I. Romaniak10
LOct 8 · 22:30I. Romaniak2.639990D. Pesternikov1.441111113LOct 8 · 20:30I. Romaniak2.503111061D. Shcherbak1.5011412113WOct 6 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.509111111113I. Kozachuk1.5011913452WOct 6 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.50161458113A. Zeniuk1.501412111172LOct 6 · 07:25I. Romaniak1.531141091O. Napirko2.3861112113LOct 6 · 05:55I. Romaniak2.50771191D. Shcherbak1.5011119113LOct 6 · 04:25I. Romaniak2.389111081D. Pesternikov1.5311612113LOct 5 · 18:55S. Rak1.401111113I. Romaniak2.754970WOct 5 · 17:25I. Romaniak1.6151111113O. Napirko2.20115971WOct 5 · 15:25D. Pesternikov1.53118111092I. Romaniak2.38211612113
O. Pavlyuk10
LOct 8 · 22:00I. Kozachuk1.801111113O. Pavlyuk1.918730WOct 8 · 20:00O. Hura2.2011311111O. Pavlyuk1.6171113133LSep 18 · 11:50O. Pavlyuk6.50711471O. Zhurba1.1011711113WSep 18 · 10:20O. Pavlyuk2.2512118113O. Ivchuk1.571081191WSep 18 · 07:20O. Pavlyuk1.8031111113D. Neborak1.91116931LSep 18 · 05:50O. Pavlyuk3.00111188102O. Bondarchuk1.36891111123LSep 17 · 19:00O. Pavlyuk2.75115491O. Bondarchuk1.4051111113LSep 17 · 17:00O. Zhurba1.111111113O. Pavlyuk6.007470WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470
Upcoming Matches
I. Romaniak
O. Pavlyuk
Oct 9 · 01:30O. Pavlyuk2.25D. Shcherbak1.57—Oct 9 · 02:30O. Pavlyuk2.75D. Pesternikov1.40—Oct 9 · 12:35O. Pavlyuk2.25D. Shcherbak1.57—Oct 9 · 14:35O. Pavlyuk1.73Y. Kravets2.00—Oct 9 · 16:05O. Pavlyuk1.91R. Lazebnyi1.80—Oct 9 · 17:05O. Pavlyuk1.73N. Kovalchuk2.00—Oct 9 · 18:05O. Pavlyuk2.00I. Kozachuk1.73—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.