TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Marek Cizek vs Jiri Tichy 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119118116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarek Cizek above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6
75 points played in total.
H2H Marek Cizek 11–3 Jiri Tichy Jiri Tichy has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Tichy beat Cizek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.60 / Tichy 2.20
Setka Cup · #13261556
Cizek1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 27 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Tichy2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCizek7wins
AwayTichy3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCizek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCizek83.3%5 of 6
AwayTichy50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek6Tichy4n = 10Cizek took 6 of 10
S2Cizek6Tichy4n = 10Cizek took 6 of 10
S3Cizek6Tichy3n = 9Cizek took 6 of 9
S4Cizek4Tichy2n = 6Cizek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCizekTichyC − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.934.5+5.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 284 vs 94 / 19845.4%47.5%129 / 284 vs 94 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.60/Tichy 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 7 · 17:28M. Cizek3810117101J. Tichy3912411123
WMar 13 · 18:45M. Cizek331111113J. Tichy219840
WOct 31 · 20:30M. Cizek4313811113J. Tichy381111881
WAug 10 · 19:45M. Cizek341112113J. Tichy2581070
WJul 23 · 18:45M. Cizek49158411113J. Tichy49131111862
LMay 23 · 20:50M. Cizek4411411992J. Tichy49911711113
WMay 23 · 17:45M. Cizek45111112113J. Tichy361351081
WMar 18 · 21:00M. Cizek331111113J. Tichy195590
M. Cizek10
LOct 7 · 19:58T. Bertho2.201112118113M. Cizek1.6181451182LOct 7 · 18:58L. Hendrych3.001111143M. Cizek1.3687120LOct 7 · 17:28J. Tichy2.5012411123M. Cizek1.5010117101LOct 2 · 20:58F. Kubos2.501111113M. Cizek1.509660LOct 2 · 19:30Z. Kuksa1.67111015113M. Cizek2.109121391WOct 2 · 19:00M. Cizek1.5711116113F. Kubos2.25851151WOct 2 · 18:00M. Cizek1.501113113L. Hendrych2.5081180LSep 22 · 20:29M. Cizek2.251091151S. Kalensky1.5712117113WSep 22 · 19:30S. Kalensky1.445131131M. Cizek2.6311157113WSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121
J. Tichy10
LOct 7 · 19:30J. Tichy1.67101112322L. Hendrych2.101231011113LOct 7 · 18:30J. Tichy1.91911111192T. Bertho1.80112136113WOct 7 · 17:28J. Tichy2.5012411123M. Cizek1.5010117101WSep 23 · 20:28J. Tichy1.501211113J. Botka2.5010550WSep 23 · 19:30J. Botka2.25111110862J. Tichy1.57891211113LSep 23 · 19:00J. Tichy1.8311850J. Marhol1.831311113LSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 14 · 20:43J. Tichy3.753111371Z. Kuksa1.2511715113LSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660WSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143
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