TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Marek Cizek vs Ladislav Hendrych 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311118––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:51 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Cizek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Cizek above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Marek Cizek at 62.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Marek Cizek 3–0 Ladislav Hendrych Ladislav Hendrych has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5162.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Cizek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Cizek
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1474 vs Hendrych 1529
Hendrych
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 60% vs Hendrych 80%
Hendrych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 60% vs Hendrych 80%
Hendrych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -1 · Hendrych +4
Hendrych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Cizek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.50 / Hendrych 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Cizek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13228955
Cizek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 27 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Hendrych2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 27)
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCizek3wins
AwayHendrych0wins
Cizek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek2Hendrych1n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
S2Cizek2Hendrych1n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
S3Cizek3Hendrych0n = 3Cizek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCizekHendrychC − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.029.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 288 vs 195 / 36846.9%53%135 / 288 vs 195 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.50/Hendrych 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 4 · 20:00M. Cizek3841111123L. Hendrych351159101
WApr 17 · 20:29M. Cizek331111113L. Hendrych206590
WApr 17 · 19:30M. Cizek4011612113L. Hendrych324111071
M. Cizek10
WOct 2 · 19:00M. Cizek1.5711116113F. Kubos2.25851151LSep 22 · 20:29M. Cizek2.251091151S. Kalensky1.5712117113WSep 22 · 19:30S. Kalensky1.445131131M. Cizek2.6311157113WSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121WSep 22 · 18:00M. Cizek1.73121111113J. Snr2.00145461LSep 17 · 21:03Z. Kuksa1.83111410113M. Cizek1.832121271LSep 17 · 19:30M. Cizek2.2010911111P. Maly1.6112118133WSep 17 · 18:30M. Cizek2.20981111133Z. Kuksa1.61111179112WSep 17 · 17:30M. Cizek1.731111113T. Bertho2.008660LSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761
L. Hendrych10
LOct 2 · 18:30Z. Kuksa1.61211148113L. Hendrych2.20117121172WSep 27 · 12:50L. Hendrych1.3013112283J. Hanacek3.40117111152WSep 27 · 11:45J. Mejzlik2.509960L. Hendrych1.501111113WSep 27 · 10:45J. Hanacek3.25671171L. Hendrych1.3311115113WSep 27 · 09:15K. Jirousek2.6381191152L. Hendrych1.44119115113LSep 18 · 21:13F. Kubos1.9111511123L. Hendrych1.806118101WSep 18 · 19:30J. Snr1.53111111572L. Hendrych2.38891311113WSep 18 · 19:00L. Hendrych1.53911119113F. Kubos2.3811581192LSep 18 · 18:00L. Hendrych1.50810100J. Botka2.501112123WSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153
Upcoming Matches
M. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
L. Hendrych
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