TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Jacek Zelezik 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911611––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:50 and never touched: 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1012911611––––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 5–22 Jacek Zelezik Jerzy Michalik has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:5073.9%Our read73.0%to break even at 1.37
clears by 0.9pp73.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.37 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (68%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-22 in 27
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1429 vs Zelezik 1628
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 20% vs Zelezik 80%
Zelezik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Zelezik 90%
Zelezik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -2 · Zelezik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Zelezik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.87 / Zelezik 1.37
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Zelezik)+0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13259847
Michalik2.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 118 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back17% 32 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 115
Zelezik1.37
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it96% 117 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik3wins
AwayZelezik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik40%2 of 5
AwayZelezik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S2Michalik4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S3Michalik4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S4Michalik2Zelezik4n = 6Zelezik took 4 of 6
S5Michalik1Zelezik3n = 4Zelezik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikZelezikM − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.243.5−5.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1216 vs 426 / 76247.3%55.9%575 / 1216 vs 426 / 762Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikMichalik 2.87/Zelezik 1.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 21:45J. Michalik247890J. Zelezik331111113
LOct 7 · 17:45J. Michalik206680J. Zelezik331111113
LOct 1 · 01:10J. Michalik28134110J. Zelezik391511133
LSep 30 · 17:30J. Michalik4791361272J. Zelezik5411111110113
WSep 28 · 21:10J. Michalik461116193J. Zelezik40914170
WSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik49611126143J. Zelezik491151011122
WSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik4611911153J. Zelezik409117131
LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik4611712972J. Zelezik485111011113
LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik441778121J. Zelezik51151111143
LAug 26 · 00:45J. Michalik3211122432J. Zelezik485101111113
J. Michalik10
WOct 9 · 00:20M. Machelski3.40161111121J. Michalik1.2818133143LOct 8 · 21:30J. Michalik3.25871781D. Molenda1.27111115113LOct 8 · 20:20J. Michalik1.417880M. Machelski2.601111113WOct 8 · 18:45J. Michalik1.9011112113A. Krezel1.80991151LOct 8 · 17:30J. Michalik1.6781151342M. Wolny2.101181111113LOct 8 · 02:10J. Michalik1.83731141A. Krezel1.8311119113WOct 8 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.9168111182J. Michalik1.80111166113WOct 7 · 23:45Z. Nocun1.53119111192J. Michalik2.38511137113WOct 7 · 22:55J. Michalik2.7511116113H. Tkaczyk1.40871141LOct 7 · 21:45J. Michalik2.637890J. Zelezik1.441111113
J. Zelezik10
WOct 8 · 23:55A. Krezel2.15111071152J. Zelezik1.55712115113WOct 8 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.231111113M. Wolny3.355870LOct 8 · 20:45D. Molenda1.331113133J. Zelezik2.95911110WOct 8 · 19:30M. Machelski1.7471161192J. Zelezik1.99119117113WOct 8 · 17:55A. Krezel1.98710111142J. Zelezik1.73111289113WOct 8 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.502340J. Zelezik1.501111113WOct 8 · 01:00Z. Nocun1.83109100J. Zelezik1.831211123WOct 8 · 00:10J. Zelezik2.10123813133H. Tkaczyk1.6710111111112WOct 7 · 22:35J. Zelezik1.671111113A. Krezel2.106590WOct 7 · 21:45J. Michalik2.637890J. Zelezik1.441111113
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