TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andrzej Krezel vs Jacek Zelezik 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111012118119411
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012118119411
H2H Andrzej Krezel 5–5 Jacek Zelezik Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5356.2%Our read57.8%to break even at 1.73
short by 1.6pp57.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.73 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1442 vs Zelezik 1633
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 40% vs Zelezik 100%
Zelezik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 30% vs Zelezik 100%
Zelezik
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel +1 · Zelezik +10
Zelezik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Zelezik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 1.98 / Zelezik 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zelezik)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13259864
Krezel1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 67 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Zelezik1.73
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it96% 117 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrezel5wins
AwayZelezik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel75%3 of 4
AwayZelezik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S2Krezel5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S3Krezel4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S4Krezel3Zelezik2n = 5Krezel took 3 of 5
S5Krezel2Zelezik1n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrezelZelezikK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.832.1+2.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 300 vs 423 / 75839.7%55.8%119 / 300 vs 423 / 758Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikKrezel 1.98/Zelezik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 22:35A. Krezel206590J. Zelezik331111113
LOct 7 · 15:00A. Krezel36118981J. Zelezik4181111113
LSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel194780J. Zelezik331111113
WSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel4071111113J. Zelezik26115551
WSep 3 · 02:10A. Krezel331111113J. Zelezik51220
WSep 2 · 20:05A. Krezel331111113J. Zelezik186840
WAug 27 · 00:10A. Krezel501212411113J. Zelezik43141011352
WAug 26 · 20:30A. Krezel47113119133J. Zelezik45511711112
LAug 25 · 23:55A. Krezel4891191182J. Zelezik44113118113
LAug 25 · 17:55A. Krezel225890J. Zelezik331111113
A. Krezel10
LOct 8 · 18:45J. Michalik1.9011112113A. Krezel1.80991151WOct 8 · 02:10J. Michalik1.83731141A. Krezel1.8311119113LOct 8 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk1.57881111113A. Krezel2.2511118782WOct 7 · 23:20M. Lewczuk2.007510A. Krezel1.731111113LOct 7 · 22:35J. Zelezik1.671111113A. Krezel2.106590LOct 7 · 21:00Z. Nocun1.7351111113A. Krezel2.00116491LOct 7 · 20:05J. Michalik1.73911118123A. Krezel2.00116911102LOct 7 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.501111811123A. Krezel2.50139119102LOct 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.91991111113A. Krezel1.8011117662WOct 7 · 16:35Z. Nocun1.6712871192A. Krezel2.101011111113
J. Zelezik10
WOct 8 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.502340J. Zelezik1.501111113WOct 8 · 01:00Z. Nocun1.83109100J. Zelezik1.831211123WOct 8 · 00:10J. Zelezik2.10123813133H. Tkaczyk1.6710111111112WOct 7 · 22:35J. Zelezik1.671111113A. Krezel2.106590WOct 7 · 21:45J. Michalik2.637890J. Zelezik1.441111113WOct 7 · 20:30J. Zelezik2.251111113H. Tkaczyk1.576680WOct 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik1.83111111113Z. Nocun1.83139891WOct 7 · 17:45J. Zelezik1.531111113J. Michalik2.386680WOct 7 · 16:15J. Zelezik1.6111124113M. Lewczuk2.206101121WOct 7 · 15:00J. Zelezik1.9181111113A. Krezel1.80118981
Upcoming Matches
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