TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Michal Wolny 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111185111311411
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:17 and never touched: 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
8111185111311411
H2H Jerzy Michalik 24–31 Michal Wolny Jerzy Michalik has won 24 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:1759.2%Our read59.9%to break even at 1.67
short by 0.7pp59.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.67 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Michalik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
24-31 in 55
Wolny
Correct
gap of 7 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1463 vs Wolny 1295
Michalik
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Wolny 100%
Wolny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 60% vs Wolny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -1 · Wolny +5
Wolny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Michalik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.67 / Wolny 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Michalik)-0.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13259021
Michalik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 153 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it94% 78 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it76% 112 of 147
Wolny2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 05)
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 32 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik5wins
AwayWolny5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik100%3 of 3
AwayWolny71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik3Wolny7n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10
S2Michalik6Wolny4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S3Michalik5Wolny5n = 10split evenly
S4Michalik2Wolny5n = 7Wolny took 5 of 7
S5Michalik3Wolny1n = 4Michalik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikWolnyM − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.2−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1214 vs 272 / 58247.4%46.7%575 / 1214 vs 272 / 582Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.67/Wolny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wolny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 23:30J. Michalik4491111133M. Wolny361177111
LAug 31 · 06:30J. Michalik2156100M. Wolny341111123
LAug 24 · 08:20J. Michalik35512991M. Wolny43111011113
WAug 10 · 07:35J. Michalik52141186133M. Wolny501251111112
WJul 30 · 03:55J. Michalik504131210113M. Wolny531111101292
LJul 29 · 21:55J. Michalik35791181M. Wolny4011117113
WJul 27 · 07:35J. Michalik331111113M. Wolny207760
LJul 20 · 03:10J. Michalik2210840M. Wolny341211113
WJul 13 · 08:45J. Michalik47136116113M. Wolny45111151172
LMay 4 · 05:35J. Michalik54711914132M. Wolny571181112153
J. Michalik10
WOct 8 · 18:45J. Michalik1.9011112113A. Krezel1.80991151LOct 8 · 02:10J. Michalik1.83731141A. Krezel1.8311119113WOct 8 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.9168111182J. Michalik1.80111166113WOct 7 · 23:45Z. Nocun1.53119111192J. Michalik2.38511137113WOct 7 · 22:55J. Michalik2.7511116113H. Tkaczyk1.40871141LOct 7 · 21:45J. Michalik2.637890J. Zelezik1.441111113WOct 7 · 20:05J. Michalik1.73911118123A. Krezel2.00116911102WOct 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.914910J. Michalik1.801111113LOct 7 · 17:45J. Zelezik1.531111113J. Michalik2.386680WOct 7 · 16:55J. Michalik2.631111113H. Tkaczyk1.448470
M. Wolny10
WOct 5 · 08:45M. Wolny1.201111113T. Kordaszewski3.807840WOct 5 · 07:10M. Wolny1.45111110113D. Maszczynski2.55971261WOct 5 · 06:00M. Wolny1.541112113M. Lamer2.1781090WOct 5 · 04:25M. Wolny1.848111111113J. Slawomir1.8611313812WOct 5 · 03:10M. Wolny1.36611124113W. Stechly2.91118101132LOct 2 · 04:40A. Zmijewski1.321811113M. Wolny3.2016460WOct 2 · 03:55A. Staniczek2.3581060M. Wolny1.501112113LOct 2 · 01:55M. Lewczuk1.4611119113M. Wolny2.55761141LOct 2 · 01:10M. Zielinski—1112113M. Wolny—91040LOct 1 · 23:30J. Michalik1.8591111133M. Wolny1.851177111
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M. Wolny
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