TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dariusz Molenda vs Michal Wolny 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171311––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched: 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1191171311––––
H2H Dariusz Molenda 3–0 Michal Wolny Michal Wolny has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:0481.3%Our read87.0%to break even at 1.15
short by 5.7pp87.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.15 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (81%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Molenda
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molenda 1583 vs Wolny 1312
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 272 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molenda 40% vs Wolny 100%
Wolny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molenda 60% vs Wolny 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molenda -3 · Wolny +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% · Strong (leans Molenda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolenda 1.15 / Wolny 5.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Molenda)-5.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13265694
Molenda1.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite82% won 110 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it99% 75 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Wolny5.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 32 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMolenda3wins
AwayWolny0wins
Molenda leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolenda100%3 of 3
AwayWolnyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molenda3Wolny0n = 3Molenda took 3 of 3
S2Molenda3Wolny0n = 3Molenda took 3 of 3
S3Molenda3Wolny0n = 3Molenda took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMolendaWolnyM − WBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolendaWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 293 vs 272 / 57378.5%47.5%230 / 293 vs 272 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaMolenda 1.15/Wolny 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 1 · 19:10D. Molenda331111113M. Wolny237790
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Molenda331111113M. Wolny177550
WApr 2 · 20:45D. Molenda331111113M. Wolny143740
D. Molenda10
LOct 8 · 18:20M. Machelski6.5012811113D. Molenda1.111011951LOct 1 · 22:20M. Lewczuk1.431111143D. Molenda2.6389120LOct 1 · 21:30M. Zielinski—111166113D. Molenda—87111192WOct 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.10117211113A. Staniczek5.3081111232WOct 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.121111113M. Wolny5.007790WOct 1 · 18:20A. Zmijewski1.5711711462D. Molenda2.26711911113WSep 24 · 22:20Z. Nocun3.32811441D. Molenda1.2911511113WSep 24 · 21:30M. Baran1.691181112102D. Molenda2.06811714123WSep 24 · 20:45D. Molenda1.241111113G. Mucha3.755880LSep 24 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2351111862M. Lewczuk3.80119611113
M. Wolny10
WOct 8 · 17:30J. Michalik1.6781151342M. Wolny2.101181111113WOct 5 · 08:45M. Wolny1.201111113T. Kordaszewski3.807840WOct 5 · 07:10M. Wolny1.45111110113D. Maszczynski2.55971261WOct 5 · 06:00M. Wolny1.541112113M. Lamer2.1781090WOct 5 · 04:25M. Wolny1.848111111113J. Slawomir1.8611313812WOct 5 · 03:10M. Wolny1.36611124113W. Stechly2.91118101132LOct 2 · 04:40A. Zmijewski1.321811113M. Wolny3.2016460WOct 2 · 03:55A. Staniczek2.3581060M. Wolny1.501112113LOct 2 · 01:55M. Lewczuk1.4611119113M. Wolny2.55761141LOct 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.121111113M. Wolny5.007790
Upcoming Matches
D. Molenda
M. Wolny
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.