TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs Tomas Andrle 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116119119––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Tomas Andrle at 57.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 1–6 Tomas Andrle Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1857.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 6.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Andrle
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1571 vs Andrle 1466
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Andrle 100%
Andrle
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 80% vs Andrle 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Andrle +5
Andrle
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Andrle) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.25 / Andrle 1.571
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Andrle)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13258106
Svoboda2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 49 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Andrle1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 51 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSvoboda1wins
AwayAndrle6wins
2 of 7 to a deciderAndrle leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayAndrle85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda0Andrle7n = 7Andrle took 7 of 7
S2Svoboda2Andrle5n = 7Andrle took 5 of 7
S3Svoboda4Andrle3n = 7Svoboda took 4 of 7
S4Svoboda2Andrle2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricSvobodaAndrleS − ABasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match29.639.1−9.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 396 vs 237 / 48953.8%48.5%213 / 396 vs 237 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleSvoboda 2.25/Andrle 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 8 · 06:30A. Svoboda4071111113T. Andrle35116991
LSep 23 · 22:30A. Svoboda47311111662T. Andrle57119818113
LSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda121560T. Andrle331111113
LSep 11 · 07:30A. Svoboda34961181T. Andrle3911116113
LMay 22 · 22:30A. Svoboda46107111172T. Andrle44121182113
LApr 25 · 02:00A. Svoboda145360T. Andrle331111113
LFeb 14 · 02:30A. Svoboda145360T. Andrle331111113
A. Svoboda10
WOct 8 · 07:00M. Smrcek2.636860A. Svoboda1.441111113WOct 7 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.4481111113F. Briza2.63113721LOct 7 · 01:30A. Svoboda2.10961111102A. Mikuska1.67111177123WOct 7 · 00:30F. Briza2.501011571A. Svoboda1.5012611113WOct 6 · 23:30V. Postelt1.611258101A. Svoboda2.20101111123LOct 6 · 22:30A. Svoboda1.6141111982M. Kolar2.20114811113WOct 5 · 13:30A. Svoboda1.9531111113M. Svedik1.75119961WOct 5 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.531211113T. Nohejl2.3810770WOct 5 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.63491181A. Svoboda1.4411113113WOct 5 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.501111143M. Svedik2.5077120
T. Andrle10
WOct 7 · 09:30T. Andrle2.10515811113J. Jnr1.67111311572WOct 7 · 08:00J. Jnr1.53811101192T. Andrle2.38117123113WOct 7 · 07:00J. Steffan1.731177101T. Andrle2.0091111123WOct 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.67137115113J. Didi2.10111181162WOct 6 · 03:00P. Picek1.44791181T. Andrle2.6311117113LOct 6 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.6714118113T. Andrle2.101271181LOct 6 · 01:00P. Picek1.831111113T. Andrle1.837960WOct 5 · 23:30T. Andrle1.83711119123J. Steffan1.83117911102WOct 5 · 22:00T. Andrle1.731011115113M. Smrcek2.0012981162WOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Svoboda
T. Andrle
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.