TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Steffan vs Tomas Andrle 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197117111012––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Jan Steffan at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 44–30 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 30 of their 74 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5854.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-30 in 74
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 14 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1388 vs Andrle 1451
Andrle
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 0% vs Andrle 60%
Andrle
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 30% vs Andrle 50%
Andrle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -5 · Andrle +2
Steffan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.727 / Andrle 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Steffan)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13254151
Steffan1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 113 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it89% 59 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it80% 88 of 110
Andrle2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 38 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan5wins
AwayAndrle5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan50%3 of 6
AwayAndrle50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan6Andrle4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S2Steffan5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S3Steffan3Andrle7n = 10Andrle took 7 of 10
S4Steffan6Andrle3n = 9Steffan took 6 of 9
S5Steffan2Andrle3n = 5Andrle took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanAndrleS − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.842.9−0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 971 vs 235 / 48647.6%48.4%462 / 971 vs 235 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.73/Andrle 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 07:00J. Steffan351177101T. Andrle4391111123
LOct 5 · 23:30J. Steffan48117911102T. Andrle50711119123
WOct 5 · 08:00J. Steffan4511119143T. Andrle398811121
WOct 4 · 01:00J. Steffan4111118113T. Andrle36881191
LSep 22 · 00:30J. Steffan521311117102T. Andrle53159611123
LSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan2678110T. Andrle351111133
LSep 11 · 09:30J. Steffan4511118962T. Andrle48871111113
WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan47611612123T. Andrle501181110102
WAug 11 · 00:30J. Steffan4011711113T. Andrle32511791
WAug 4 · 15:00J. Steffan491061111113T. Andrle4312115692
J. Steffan10
LOct 7 · 06:00J. Jnr1.5711129153J. Steffan2.2571011131LOct 6 · 01:30J. Steffan2.1071191152O. Fejtek1.67115114113LOct 6 · 00:30M. Smrcek1.731011119123J. Steffan2.00126411102LOct 5 · 23:30T. Andrle1.83711119123J. Steffan1.83117911102LOct 5 · 22:30J. Steffan1.839890P. Picek1.831111113WOct 5 · 09:30M. Smrcek1.534990J. Steffan2.381111113WOct 5 · 08:00T. Andrle1.838811121J. Steffan1.8311119143WOct 5 · 07:00J. Didi1.9110780J. Steffan1.801211113LOct 5 · 06:30J. Steffan2.107950M. Smrcek1.671111113LOct 4 · 03:30M. Placek1.35861115113J. Steffan2.90111181362
T. Andrle10
WOct 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.67137115113J. Didi2.10111181162WOct 6 · 03:00P. Picek1.44791181T. Andrle2.6311117113LOct 6 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.6714118113T. Andrle2.101271181LOct 6 · 01:00P. Picek1.831111113T. Andrle1.837960WOct 5 · 23:30T. Andrle1.83711119123J. Steffan1.83117911102WOct 5 · 22:00T. Andrle1.731011115113M. Smrcek2.0012981162WOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123LOct 5 · 08:00T. Andrle1.838811121J. Steffan1.8311119143LOct 5 · 07:30M. Smrcek1.83119117113T. Andrle1.8371151182LOct 5 · 06:00T. Andrle1.8051181172J. Didi1.91117118113
Upcoming Matches
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