TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Gromek vs Jakub Glanowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Gromek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Gromek above · Jakub Glanowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Artur Gromek at 56.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Artur Gromek 3–2 Jakub Glanowski Jakub Glanowski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5856.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gromek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gromek 1494 vs Glanowski 1472
Gromek
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gromek 60% vs Glanowski 40%
Gromek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gromek 40% vs Glanowski 60%
Glanowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gromek -1 · Glanowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Gromek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGromek 1.666 / Glanowski 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Gromek)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13248261
Gromek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 20 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Glanowski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 127 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back20% 35 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeGromek3wins
AwayGlanowski2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderGromek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGromek66.7%2 of 3
AwayGlanowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gromek3Glanowski2n = 5Gromek took 3 of 5
S2Gromek3Glanowski2n = 5Gromek took 3 of 5
S3Gromek2Glanowski3n = 5Glanowski took 3 of 5
S4Gromek3Glanowski2n = 5Gromek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricGromekGlanowskiGromek − GlanowskiBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.437.4+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGromekGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 161 vs 893 / 178434.2%50.1%55 / 161 vs 893 / 1784Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GromekGromek 1.67/Glanowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Gromek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gromek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 5 · 00:35A. Gromek27512731J. Glanowski43111011113
LAug 3 · 22:55A. Gromek4511911592J. Glanowski45811411113
WAug 3 · 20:05A. Gromek4211119113J. Glanowski31671171
WJul 22 · 00:45A. Gromek43111110113J. Glanowski31681251
WJul 21 · 22:30A. Gromek45481111113J. Glanowski3711119332
A. Gromek10
LOct 5 · 18:30R. Stapor1.8011118113A. Gromek1.91991191WOct 5 · 17:40K. Rudomina2.001181091A. Gromek1.7341112113WOct 5 · 16:55A. Gromek1.801214113A. Linek1.91101260WOct 5 · 15:45A. Gromek1.6713711113M. Trela2.101111381LAug 5 · 00:35J. Glanowski2.00111011113A. Gromek1.73512731LAug 4 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.30111299113A. Gromek3.40610111142LAug 4 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.20911911113A. Gromek3.8511411762LAug 4 · 21:25M. Kolek1.801111133A. Gromek1.9187110WAug 4 · 20:05M. Nowalinski1.369111181A. Gromek3.0011132113LAug 4 · 19:15A. Daniel1.301111113A. Gromek3.402560
J. Glanowski10
WOct 5 · 21:00J. Glanowski1.531111113M. Trela2.386570LOct 5 · 19:15A. Linek1.731213810133J. Glanowski2.0010111112112WOct 5 · 17:20R. Stapor1.8071191172J. Glanowski1.91115116113WOct 5 · 16:30M. Trela2.208760J. Glanowski1.611111113LOct 5 · 15:00K. Rudomina2.20711711113J. Glanowski1.6111511722LOct 5 · 00:10R. Stapor1.83111211113J. Glanowski1.83714841WOct 4 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.881411810153A. Linek1.821291112132WOct 4 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.4111116113K. Sulkowski2.60571171LOct 4 · 21:05J. Glanowski1.801182101K. Rudomina1.8581111123WAug 5 · 00:35J. Glanowski2.00111011113A. Gromek1.73512731
Upcoming Matches
A. Gromek
Oct 5 · 21:25A. Gromek1.54A. Linek2.35—Oct 5 · 22:10A. Gromek1.36M. Trela2.80—Oct 5 · 22:55A. Gromek1.67J. Glanowski2.10—Oct 6 · 00:35A. Gromek3.40K. Staszczyk1.30—Oct 6 · 15:25A. Gromek—M. Minda——Oct 6 · 16:55A. Gromek—L. Pietraszko——Oct 6 · 18:05A. Gromek—D. Kosmal——Oct 6 · 19:15A. Gromek—P. Blocho——Oct 6 · 20:30A. Gromek—A. Linek——Oct 6 · 21:25A. Gromek—L. Pietraszko——
J. Glanowski
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