Artur Gromek vs Mateusz Trela 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 5Finished

Artur Gromek

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1311711113118––

Mateusz Trela

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%

Graded at full time

Artur Gromek to win

58.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingArtur Gromek above · Mateusz Trela below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-3

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 75 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Artur Gromek at 58.6%

75 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:42

58.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 1.4pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Gromek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Gromek 1477 vs Trela 1290

Gromek

Correct

both rated, 187 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Gromek 20% vs Trela 60%

Trela

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Gromek 10% vs Trela 50%

Trela

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Gromek -4 · Trela -1

Gromek

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Gromek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Trela form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGromek 1.666 / Trela 2.10

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Gromek)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13243773

Gromek1.67

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 62 days ago (Aug 05) · back after a break

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite67% won 20 of 30

Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20

Trela2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 04)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog42% won 135 of 320

Down 0–1, comes back27% 47 of 175

Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 85

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricGromekTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 157 vs 809 / 165233.1%49%52 / 157 vs 809 / 1652Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Gromek

Gromek 1.67/Trela 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.6%

Gromek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Gromek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Gromek10