TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Sulkowski vs Dominik Solilo 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811711119911
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched: 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811711119911
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 12–14 Dominik Solilo Bartosz Sulkowski has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:2855.1%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 7.4pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Solilo
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1493 vs Solilo 1557
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Solilo 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Solilo 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Solilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.60 / Solilo 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sulkowski)-7.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13244104
Sulkowski1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 181 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it96% 79 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it82% 129 of 158
Solilo2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 72 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski4wins
AwaySolilo6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski60%3 of 5
AwaySolilo80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski6Solilo4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Solilo3n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S5Sulkowski1Solilo3n = 4Solilo took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiSoliloSulkowski − SoliloBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.0+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime607 / 1359 vs 286 / 58244.7%49.1%607 / 1359 vs 286 / 582Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.60/Solilo 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 21:50B. Sulkowski43511411122D. Solilo46117113143
LOct 1 · 00:10B. Sulkowski361111771D. Solilo4013511113
LSep 30 · 15:00B. Sulkowski4511871182D. Solilo49911117113
WSep 24 · 21:25B. Sulkowski4211119113D. Solilo22451121
WSep 24 · 16:55B. Sulkowski4011711113D. Solilo27611551
WSep 23 · 15:00B. Sulkowski48711811113D. Solilo4211211992
LSep 22 · 11:25B. Sulkowski4711117992D. Solilo42451111113
LSep 16 · 21:00B. Sulkowski194780D. Solilo331111113
LSep 16 · 16:05B. Sulkowski4111911101D. Solilo4513119123
WSep 11 · 06:50B. Sulkowski341111123D. Solilo2459100
B. Sulkowski10
WOct 5 · 14:40A. Sobel1.60119581B. Sulkowski2.1561111113WOct 5 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.469880B. Sulkowski2.501111113LOct 5 · 11:00M. Kolek1.46117119113B. Sulkowski2.5071161192WOct 5 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.0091030B. Sulkowski1.321112113WOct 5 · 00:10S. Brud1.61811119112B. Sulkowski2.20119711133WOct 4 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.1011611113M. Kukawka1.67311791LOct 4 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.10311641J. Nadolny1.6711811113WOct 4 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.201711113L. Pietraszko1.6115770LOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak1.5781111113B. Sulkowski2.25114571LOct 4 · 19:15S. Brud1.801312411113B. Sulkowski1.91111411592
D. Solilo10
LOct 5 · 14:20M. Kolek1.9014119113D. Solilo1.751251121WOct 5 · 11:25M. Zwolinski4.25119111182D. Solilo1.19131137113LOct 5 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00891291LOct 5 · 09:00A. Sobel1.85171111113D. Solilo1.85194761LOct 2 · 00:10D. Solilo1.73117119112J. Glanowski2.00811811133LOct 1 · 23:20D. Solilo2.50106100K. Staszczyk1.501211123WOct 1 · 21:50D. Solilo1.50117113143B. Sulkowski2.50511411122WOct 1 · 21:25D. Solilo1.6771112113A. Linek2.101161071LOct 1 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.5011511113D. Solilo2.50811981WOct 1 · 19:15D. Solilo1.50119811113A. Mugowski2.5071111962
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