TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dominik Solilo vs Bartosz Sulkowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1157111143111412
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Solilo above · Bartosz Sulkowski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 89 set 5, 14-12 · our read held Dominik Solilo at 63.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Solilo 13–12 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:4563.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1589 vs Sulkowski 1492
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 60% vs Sulkowski 20%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 50% vs Sulkowski 30%
Solilo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo +1 · Sulkowski -4
Sulkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Solilo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 1.50 / Sulkowski 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Solilo)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222874
Solilo1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 166 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it91% 84 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it79% 122 of 155
Sulkowski2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 159 of 476
Down 0–1, comes back18% 50 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolilo5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolilo75%3 of 4
AwaySulkowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Solilo5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Solilo6Sulkowski4n = 10Solilo took 6 of 10
S4Solilo3Sulkowski5n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S5Solilo2Sulkowski1n = 3Solilo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoliloSulkowskiSolilo − SulkowskiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.439.4−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 576 vs 597 / 133449.3%44.8%284 / 576 vs 597 / 1334Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloSolilo 1.50/Sulkowski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 00:10D. Solilo4013511113B. Sulkowski361111771
WSep 30 · 15:00D. Solilo49911117113B. Sulkowski4511871182
LSep 24 · 21:25D. Solilo22451121B. Sulkowski4211119113
LSep 24 · 16:55D. Solilo27611551B. Sulkowski4011711113
LSep 23 · 15:00D. Solilo4211211992B. Sulkowski48711811113
WSep 22 · 11:25D. Solilo42451111113B. Sulkowski4711117992
WSep 16 · 21:00D. Solilo331111113B. Sulkowski194780
WSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo4513119123B. Sulkowski4111911101
LSep 11 · 06:50D. Solilo2459100B. Sulkowski341111123
LSep 10 · 14:20D. Solilo401111991B. Sulkowski4213711113
D. Solilo10
WOct 1 · 21:25D. Solilo1.6771112113A. Linek2.101161071LOct 1 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.5011511113D. Solilo2.50811981WOct 1 · 19:15D. Solilo1.50119811113A. Mugowski2.5071111962LOct 1 · 18:05D. Kosmal1.67121110113D. Solilo2.101091271WOct 1 · 16:55J. Glanowski2.0055111192D. Solilo1.73111190113WOct 1 · 15:25A. Linek2.381091181D. Solilo1.5312118113WOct 1 · 00:10D. Solilo1.5713511113B. Sulkowski2.251111771LSep 30 · 23:20D. Solilo1.737101191K. Rudomina2.0011129113LSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113LSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113
B. Sulkowski10
LOct 1 · 22:35B. Sulkowski2.75101090K. Staszczyk1.401212113LOct 1 · 00:10D. Solilo1.5713511113B. Sulkowski2.251111771LSep 30 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.637230K. Staszczyk1.441111113LSep 30 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.207780P. Blocho1.611111113LSep 30 · 21:00B. Sulkowski1.916590K. Rudomina1.801111113WSep 30 · 20:05P. Blocho1.6781111572B. Sulkowski2.10112911113WSep 30 · 19:15K. Rudomina2.008121361B. Sulkowski1.73111411113LSep 30 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.44141111113B. Sulkowski2.63166641LSep 30 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.1011119113B. Sulkowski1.67451131LSep 30 · 15:00D. Solilo1.73911117113B. Sulkowski2.0011871182
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.