TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Kuzmych vs Andrii Kotiash 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7114111113––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched: 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Andrii Kotiash below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 57 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 63.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 1–0 Andrii Kotiash Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5363.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuzmych
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1535 vs Kotiash 1401
Kuzmych
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 80% vs Kotiash 0%
Kuzmych
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 80% vs Kotiash 20%
Kuzmych
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +3 · Kotiash -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Kuzmych) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 1.533 / Kotiash 2.375
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kuzmych)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13239710
Kuzmych1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite33% won 5 of 15
Kotiash2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 49 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuzmych1wins
AwayKotiash0wins
Kuzmych leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuzmychKotiashKuzmych − KotiashBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.028.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 90 vs 218 / 47047.8%46.4%43 / 90 vs 218 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmychKuzmych 1.53/Kotiash 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Kuzmych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotiash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 3 · 12:25V. Kuzmych351112123A. Kotiash28810100
V. Kuzmych10
WOct 4 · 07:25V. Kuzmych2.001111113M. Slozka1.739970WOct 4 · 05:55V. Kuzmych1.911115133I. Fashchevskyi1.80413110WOct 4 · 04:25V. Kuzmych2.2012111114113D. Palii1.6114761682LOct 3 · 17:55O. Gazhula1.33912711113V. Kuzmych3.25111011962WOct 3 · 16:55V. Kuzmych2.3891111113D. Palii1.53113491WOct 3 · 15:55V. Kuzmych2.2511116113I. Fashchevskyi1.57791181WOct 3 · 14:25V. Kuzmych2.2051211113M. Slozka1.611110371WOct 3 · 12:25V. Kuzmych1.831112123A. Kotiash1.83810100LSep 12 · 10:55V. Kuzmych2.209511111T. Gil1.6111119133WSep 12 · 08:55D. Palii1.67111110882V. Kuzmych2.10371211113
A. Kotiash10
LOct 4 · 07:55A. Kotiash2.2546111362I. Fashchevskyi1.581111611113LOct 4 · 06:55O. Gazhula1.61111116113A. Kotiash2.20861841LOct 4 · 05:25A. Kotiash2.0066111142M. Slozka1.73111189113LOct 3 · 18:55D. Palii1.40861111103A. Kotiash2.7511113682LOct 3 · 17:25A. Kotiash2.258690I. Fashchevskyi1.571111113WOct 3 · 15:25M. Slozka1.509511111A. Kotiash2.5011119123WOct 3 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.5361161152A. Kotiash2.38118114113LOct 3 · 12:25V. Kuzmych1.831112123A. Kotiash1.83810100LOct 3 · 01:22A. Kotiash1.8521151182O. Gazhula1.85118119113LOct 3 · 00:15D. Palii1.57111111113A. Kotiash2.25136741
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