TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jonas Rak vs Filip Sikora 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311911411911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1311911411911––
H2H Jonas Rak 11–18 Filip Sikora Jonas Rak has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Rak beat Sikora 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:1158.9%Our read65.4%to break even at 1.53
short by 6.5pp65.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.53 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-18 in 29
Sikora
Correct
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rak 1693 vs Sikora 1751
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rak 40% vs Sikora 60%
Sikora
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rak 40% vs Sikora 60%
Sikora
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rak -1 · Sikora +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Sikora) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 2.35 / Sikora 1.53
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sikora)-6.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13233972
Rak2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back39% 13 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Sikora1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 54 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRak4wins
AwaySikora6wins
Sikora leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRak50%2 of 4
AwaySikora66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rak4Sikora6n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S2Rak5Sikora5n = 10split evenly
S3Rak3Sikora7n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S4Rak3Sikora3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRakSikoraR − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.536.7−3.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakSikoraBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 122 vs 180 / 32150%56.1%61 / 122 vs 180 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraRak 2.35/Sikora 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 13:45J. Rak4791215113F. Sikora3711101331
LSep 8 · 14:40J. Rak361169101F. Sikora4171111123
LSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak215970F. Sikora331111113
WSep 7 · 14:40J. Rak4211146113F. Sikora355121171
WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak391711113F. Sikora2715480
WSep 6 · 10:40J. Rak51101317113F. Sikora4712111591
LSep 3 · 17:20J. Rak31611861F. Sikora3711411113
LSep 3 · 13:40J. Rak27127351F. Sikora43101111113
LAug 25 · 14:45J. Rak229760F. Sikora331111113
LAug 23 · 09:45J. Rak1936100F. Sikora341111123
J. Rak10
LOct 2 · 16:15J. Skvrna1.831211113J. Rak1.8310960WOct 2 · 15:15J. Rak1.7391111113A. Baros2.00117851WOct 2 · 13:45F. Sikora1.5311101331J. Rak2.3891215113LSep 8 · 16:40P. Vicherek1.801111113J. Rak1.911960LSep 8 · 16:10J. Rak1.80116100P. Vicherek1.911311123LSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 8 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.6148111492J. Rak2.201111712113LSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113LSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113WSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113
F. Sikora10
WOct 2 · 15:45F. Sikora1.50141011113A. Baros2.501212391WOct 2 · 14:45F. Sikora1.44125117113J. Skvrna2.63101131172LOct 2 · 13:45F. Sikora1.5311101331J. Rak2.3891215113LSep 29 · 17:13F. Sikora1.83114771R. Kowal1.8351111113WSep 29 · 15:45F. Sikora1.8011411123R. Kowal1.918115101WSep 29 · 14:45F. Sikora1.7311511113D. Sarganek2.00411991LSep 29 · 13:45F. Sikora1.806660P. Vicherek1.911111113WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113
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