TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lubor Sulava vs Radek Bartunek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411611––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:16 and never touched: 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Radek Bartunek at 72.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 16–45 Radek Bartunek Lubor Sulava has won 16 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:1672.3%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 1.1pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-45 in 61
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 29 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1336 vs Bartunek 1375
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 40% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 50% vs Bartunek 30%
Sulava
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -2 · Bartunek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Bartunek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 3.00 / Bartunek 1.363
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bartunek)-1.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233646
Sulava3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 59 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Bartunek1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 111 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it89% 84 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava0wins
AwayBartunek10wins
Bartunek leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulavan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBartunek100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava1Bartunek9n = 10Bartunek took 9 of 10
S2Sulava4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S3Sulava1Bartunek9n = 10Bartunek took 9 of 10
S4Sulava0Bartunek6n = 6Bartunek took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaBartunekS − BBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match25.837.9−12.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 941 vs 338 / 65849.6%51.4%467 / 941 vs 338 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekSulava 3.00/Bartunek 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 00:30L. Sulava166460R. Bartunek331111113
LJul 20 · 22:00L. Sulava326111141R. Bartunek4211137113
LJun 14 · 16:58L. Sulava29511581R. Bartunek3911611113
LJun 14 · 14:00L. Sulava28311771R. Bartunek4111811113
LMay 25 · 18:30L. Sulava227780R. Bartunek331111113
LMay 23 · 01:00L. Sulava145540R. Bartunek331111113
LMay 2 · 23:30L. Sulava29117381R. Bartunek4071111113
LApr 26 · 16:00L. Sulava29411951R. Bartunek4011711113
LApr 14 · 14:00L. Sulava207670R. Bartunek331111113
LMar 22 · 00:00L. Sulava391013971R. Bartunek45121111113
L. Sulava10
LOct 3 · 23:00L. Sulava2.50911781M. Smrcek1.5011811113LOct 3 · 22:00M. Stefek1.8011118123L. Sulava1.912911101WSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava2.25115119113J. Briska1.5761111192LSep 28 · 08:00V. Dolezal1.44811118113L. Sulava2.6311851182WSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113LSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113LSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113WSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 07:00V. Hruska Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113WSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080
R. Bartunek10
WOct 4 · 01:30R. Bartunek2.631111113M. Smrcek1.446970LOct 3 · 23:30M. Stefek2.7511117113R. Bartunek1.40961171WOct 3 · 22:30R. Bartunek2.2081111133V. Dolezal1.611175111LOct 1 · 03:00J. Didi2.101311113R. Bartunek1.6711780LOct 1 · 02:00V. Kosar2.201111133R. Bartunek1.6176110WOct 1 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.63121174113A. Svoboda1.44107111182LSep 30 · 23:00R. Bartunek1.40711100J. Didi2.751113123LSep 30 · 22:00O. Fejtek1.50911118123R. Bartunek2.50118611102LSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek1.6711147113R. Bartunek2.108121171LSep 30 · 00:30R. Bartunek3.002790P. Picek1.361111113
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